1

                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
                             WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

                                    FORM 10-Q

                Quarterly Report UnderPursuant to Section 13 or 15 (d)
                     of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934



             ------------------------------------------------------

          For Quarter Ended                     Commission file number
           September 30, 2006March 31, 2007                               0-5534

                              BALDWIN & LYONS, INC.
             (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

               INDIANA                                35-0160330
               -------                                ----------
 (State or other jurisdiction of                   (I.R.S. Employer
  incorporation or organization)                 Identification Number)

1099 NORTH MERIDIAN STREET, INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA        46204
- -------------------------------------------------        -----
        (Address of principal executive offices)       (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code:  (317) 636-9800
                                                     --------------

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required
to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
during the preceding 12 months, and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes  [ X ]     No [   ]

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an
accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of "accelerated
filer and large accelerated filer" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer [ ] Accelerated filer [ X ][X] Non-accelerated filer [ ]

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's classes of
common stock as of November 7, 2006:May 4, 2007:

               TITLE OF CLASS             NUMBER OF SHARES OUTSTANDING

Common Stock, No Par Value:
      Class A (voting)                              2,650,059
      Class B (nonvoting)                          12,461,45512,488,955


Index to Exhibits located on page 16.15.





                          Page 1 of a total of 2322 pages

 2

                         PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
- ----------------------------

BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) (UNAUDITED) SEPTEMBER 30 DecemberMARCH 31 DECEMBER 31 2007 2006 2005 ------------------- ------------------ ASSETS Investments: Fixed maturities $ 326,560357,046 $ 265,419338,466 Equity securities 131,177 130,785128,138 129,817 Limited partnerships 48,666 44,72761,345 57,313 Short-term 69,125 51,06042,327 59,325 ------------------- ------------------ 575,528 491,991588,856 584,921 Cash and cash equivalents 46,182 126,55130,814 35,490 Accounts receivable 38,925 30,27035,825 37,994 Reinsurance recoverable 172,316 191,440158,762 163,426 Notes receivable from employees 2,321 2,3392,253 2,343 Other assets 34,062 17,76730,638 27,932 Current federal income taxes - 1,613 ------------------- ------------------ $ 869,334847,148 $ 860,358853,719 =================== ================== LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Reserves for losses and loss expenses $ 420,072401,660 $ 430,273409,412 Reserves for unearned premiums 35,282 29,68835,077 32,145 Accounts payable and accrued expenses 45,822 37,77731,813 35,681 Current federal income taxes 2,006 1,88112,613 - Deferred federal income taxes 15,118 14,0547,311 18,854 ------------------- ------------------ 518,300 513,673488,474 496,092 Shareholders' equity: Common stock-no par value 645 632646 646 Additional paid-in capital 45,127 38,89445,770 45,692 Unrealized net gains on investments 45,407 42,44046,731 47,229 Retained earnings 259,855 264,719265,527 264,060 ------------------- ------------------ 351,034 346,685358,674 357,627 ------------------- ------------------ $ 869,334847,148 $ 860,358853,719 =================== ==================
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. 3
BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 ----------------------------------- ---------------------------------THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31 -------------------------------- 2007 2006 2005 2006 2005 ---------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- REVENUES Net premiums earned $42,333 $49,848 $127,714 $139,981$44,175 $43,218 Net investment income 5,140 3,734 14,435 10,5894,846 4,559 Net gains on investments 2,958 8,346 8,837 16,470474 7,014 Commissions and other income 1,418 1,645 5,130 5,283 ---------------- ---------------1,412 1,864 -------------- -------------- 51,849 63,573 156,116 172,32350,907 56,655 EXPENSES Losses and loss expenses incurred 25,837 46,827 82,493 106,41126,892 28,939 Other operating expenses 11,931 9,902 35,131 29,849 ---------------- ---------------12,846 10,787 -------------- -------------- 37,768 56,729 117,624 136,260 ---------------- ---------------39,738 39,726 -------------- -------------- INCOME BEFORE FEDERAL INCOME TAXES 14,081 6,844 38,492 36,06311,169 16,929 Federal income taxes 4,202 2,193 11,630 11,866 ---------------- ---------------2,958 5,373 -------------- -------------- NET INCOME $ 9,879 $ 4,651 $26,862 $24,197 ================ ===============$8,211 $11,556 ============== ============== PER SHARE DATA: BASIC EARNINGS $ .65.54 $ .32 $ 1.79 $ 1.64 ================ ===============.78 ============== ============== DILUTED EARNINGS $ .65.54 $ .31 $ 1.79 $ 1.63 ================ ===============.78 ============== ============== DIVIDENDS PAID TO SHAREHOLDERS $ .25.45 $ .35 $ 2.10 $ .70 ================ =============== ============== ============== RECONCILIATION OF SHARES OUTSTANDING: Average shares outstanding - basic 15,108 14,764 14,965 14,73915,137 14,805 Dilutive effect of options outstanding 22 109 48 115 ---------------- ---------------20 84 -------------- -------------- Average shares outstanding - diluted 15,130 14,873 15,013 14,854 ================ ===============15,157 14,889 ============== ==============
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. 4
BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (DOLLARS IN THOUSANDS) Nine Months Ended September 30THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31 2007 2006 2005 -------------- ---------------------------- --------------- Net cash provided by operating activities $ 14,6288,735 $ 37,62012,839 Investing activities: Purchases of long-term investments (191,391) (110,125)(78,819) (100,494) Proceeds from sales or maturities of long-term investments 138,776 152,66456,168 54,826 Net purchasessales (purchases) of short-term investments (18,065) (30,724)16,997 (4,340) Decrease in notes receivable from employees 10 15 169 Other investing activities 1,455 (1,470) -------------- -------------(1,031) (45) --------------- --------------- Net cash provided by (used in)used in investing activities (69,210) 10,514(6,675) (50,038) Financing activities: Dividends paid to shareholders (31,624) (10,329) Repayment on notes payable - (6,000)(6,813) (5,185) Cost of treasury stock - (401) - Proceeds from sales of common stock 6,238 1,306 -------------- -------------77 248 --------------- --------------- Net cash used in financing activities (25,787) (15,023) -------------- ------------- Increase (decrease)(6,736) (5,338) --------------- --------------- Decrease in cash and cash equivalents (80,369) 33,111(4,676) (42,537) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 35,490 126,551 57,384 -------------- ---------------------------- --------------- Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $ 46,18230,814 $ 90,495 ============== =============
84,014 =============== =============== See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (1) BASIS OF PRESENTATION: The accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q and do not include all of the information and notes required by generally accepted accounting principles for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ended December 31, 2006.2007. Interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company's annual audited financial statements and other disclosures included in the Company's most recent Form 10-K. 5 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (2) FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: Forward-looking statements in this report are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Readers are encouraged to review the Company's annual report for its full statement regarding forward-looking information. (3) NET GAINS ON INVESTMENTS: Amounts reported as net gains on investments consist of three components: (1) net gains or losses realized upon the actual sale of investments managed directly by the Company's investment managers, (2) "other-than-temporary impairment" write-downs, and (3) equity in earnings or losses of investments in limited partnerships.partnerships and (3) "other-than-temporary impairment" adjustments. The Company accounts for investments in limited partnerships using the equity method of accounting, which requires an investor in a limited partnership to record its proportionate share of the limited partnership's net income. To the extent that the limited partnership investees include both realized and unrealized investment gains or losses in the determination of net income or loss, then the Company would also recognize, through its income statement, its proportionate share of the investee's unrealized as well as realized investment gains or losses. The Company invests in limited partnerships that include both realized and unrealized investment gains or losses in the determination of their net income. Readers are cautioned that inclusion of such unrealized gains is not consistent with the recognition of temporary valuation changes of equity and debt securities that are directly owned and held for sale and may result in significant fluctuations in quarterly amounts reported under this caption. In addition, because of inherent time lags in receiving valuation reports from certain limited partnership investees, the Company must often rely on estimations of valuation changes for the most recent month or quarter ended on the reporting date. To the extent that the actual valuations subsequently reported differ from estimates utilized, the differences are included in gains or losses from investments in the quarter reported to the Company. Following is a summary of the components of net gains on investments for the periods presented in the accompanying statements of income.
THREE MONTHS ENDED NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30 -------------------------------- --------------------------------MARCH 31 2007 2006 2005 2006 2005 -------------- -------------- -------------- ------------------------------ ---------------- Realized net gains on the disposal of securities $ 449466 $ 1,632 $ 4,007 $ 6,3341,754 Equity in earnings (losses) of limited partnership investments (realized and unrealized) (897) 4,728 Impairment: Write-downs based upon objective criteria (580) (904) (1,343) (1,496)(63) - Recovery of prior write-downs upon sale or disposal - 375 668 1,112 Equity in earnings of limited partnership investments (realized and unrealized) 3,089 7,243 5,505 10,520 -------------- -------------- -------------- --------------968 532 ---------------- ---------------- Totals $ 2,958474 $ 8,346 $ 8,837 $ 16,470 ============== ============== ============== ==============7,014 ================ ================
6 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) The net gainslosses from limited partnerships for the quarter and year-to-date ending September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 include an estimated $2.0$3.6 million and $1.4 million, respectively, of unrealized gainslosses reported to the Company as 6 reported inpart of the net income or lossoperations of the various limited partnerships. Shareholders' equity at September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 includes approximately $11.8$14.9 million, net of deferred federal income taxes, of earnings undistributed by limited partnerships. (4) REINSURANCE: The following table summarizes the Company's transactions with reinsurers for the 20062007 and 20052006 comparative periods.
2007 2006 2005 ----------- ----------------------- ------------ Quarter ended September 30:March 31: Premiums ceded to reinsurers $ 5,9616,117 $ 8,2257,606 Losses and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers 7,472 19,6204,410 1,900 Commissions from reinsurers 177 1,482 Nine months ended September 30: Premiums ceded to reinsurers 18,969 31,313 Losses and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers 12,587 42,508 Commissions from reinsurers 988 6,568292 690
(5) COMPREHENSIVE INCOME OR LOSS: Total realized and unrealized income for the quarter ended September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 was $14,473$7,782 and compares to total realized and unrealized income of $8,056$14,735 for the quarter ended September 30, 2005. For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, total realized and unrealized income was $30,116 and compares to total realized and unrealized income of $22,441 for the nine months ended September 30, 2005.March 31, 2006. 7 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (6) REPORTABLE SEGMENTS - PROFIT OR LOSS: The following table provides certain profit and loss information for each reportable segment. All amounts presented are computed based upon generally accepted accounting principles. In addition, segmentSegment profit for fleet trucking includes the direct marketing agency operations conducted by the parent company for this segment and is computed after elimination of inter-company commissions. Amounts presented for voluntary reinsurance assumed include transactions related to certain inter-segment reinsurance agreements.
2007 2006 2005 -------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DIRECT AND Direct and ASSUMED NET PREMIUM SEGMENT Assumed Net Direct and Net Assumed Premium Segment Assumed Premium SegmentPREMIUM EARNED AND PROFIT Premium Earned and Profit Premium Earned and Profit Written Fee Income (Loss)WRITTEN FEE INCOME (LOSS) Written Fee Income (Loss) ------------ ------------- ----------- -------------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ----------- THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30:MARCH 31: PROTECTIVE PRODUCTS: Fleet trucking $ 30,56130,885 $ 26,69526,172 $ 6,3435,301 $ 39,29634,561 $ 33,26228,119 $ 6,0134,754 Reinsurance assumed 3,322 3,517 1,931 4,498 4,367 (10,534)5,823 6,383 2,031 3,277 3,338 1,870 SAGAMORE PRODUCTS: Personal division 6,965 9,364 419 7,651 10,602 1,607 Commercial division:Private passenger automobile 10,201 8,693 946 14,127 10,237 1,066 Small fleet trucking 6,917 3,945 (22) 4,045 2,379 8 Workers' compensation - 1 70 48 404 (15)6,116 4,094 74 6,731 2,843 3 All other 77 106 200 240 320 229 ------------ ------------- ------------ ----------- -------------- ------------ ------------ Total Commercial 6,917 3,946 48 4,093 2,783 (7) division All other 109 139 (325) 304 410 102 ------------ ------------- ----------- -------------- ------------ ------------ Totals $ 47,87453,102 $ 43,66145,448 $ 8,4168,552 $ 55,84258,936 $ 51,42444,857 $ (2,819)7,922 ============ ============= ============ =========== ============== ============ ============ NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30: PROTECTIVE PRODUCTS: Fleet trucking $ 94,830 $ 81,431 $ 16,513 $ 117,402 $ 91,875 $ 20,621 Reinsurance assumed 9,473 10,653 4,784 8,916 9,596 (7,914) SAGAMORE PRODUCTS: Personal division 27,414 29,643 2,237 31,138 32,927 3,737 Commercial division: Small fleet trucking 20,462 10,318 (464) 11,679 6,868 258 Workers' compensation 49 130 247 140 2,625 100 ------------ ------------- ----------- -------------- ------------ ------------ Total Commercial 20,511 10,448 (217) 11,819 9,493 358 division All other 45 237 (581) 1,096 1,102 (295) ------------ ------------- ----------- -------------- ------------ ------------ Totals $ 152,273 $ 132,412 $ 22,736 $ 170,371 $ 144,993 $ 16,507 ============ ============= =========== ============== ============ ============
8 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (7) REPORTABLE SEGMENTS - RECONCILIATION TO CONSOLIDATED REVENUE AND CONSOLIDATED PROFIT OR LOSS: The following tables are reconciliations of reportable segment revenues and profit or loss to the Company's consolidated revenue and income before federal income taxes, respectively.
Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30March 31 2007 2006 2005 2006 2005 ------------- -------------- ------------- -------------- REVENUE: Net premium earned and fee income $ 43,66145,448 $ 51,424 $ 132,412 $ 144,99344,857 Net investment income 5,140 3,734 14,435 10,5894,846 4,559 Net gains on investments 2,958 8,346 8,837 16,470474 7,014 Other 90 69 432 271 ------------- --------------139 225 ------------- -------------- Total consolidated revenue $ 51,84950,907 $ 63,573 $ 156,116 $ 172,323 ============= ==============56,655 ============= ============== PROFIT: Segment profit $ 8,4168,552 $ (2,819) $ 22,736 $ 16,5077,922 Net investment income 5,140 3,734 14,435 10,5894,846 4,559 Net gains on investments 2,958 8,346 8,837 16,470474 7,014 Corporate expenses (2,433) (2,417) (7,516) (7,503) ------------- --------------(2,703) (2,566) ------------- -------------- Income before federal income taxes $ 14,08111,169 $ 6,844 $ 38,492 $ 36,063 ============= ==============16,929 ============= ==============
Management does not identify or allocate assets to reportable segments when evaluating segment performance and depreciation expense is not material for any of the reportable segments. 8 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (8) LOANS TO EMPLOYEES: In 2000, 2001 and 2002 the Company provided loans to certain employees for the sole purpose of purchasing the Company's Class B common stock in the open market. $7,260 of such full-recourse loans were issued and $2,321$2,253 remain outstanding at September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 and carry interest rates of between 4.75% and 6%, payable annually on the loan anniversary date. The underlying securities serve as collateral for these loans, which must be repaid no later than 10 years from the date of issue. No additional loans will be made under this program. (9) ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS: In July 2006, FASBthe Financial Accounting Standards Board issued FASB Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income TaxesACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY IN INCOME TAXES - AN INTERPRETATION OF FASB STATEMENT 109 ("FIN 48"). Among other things, FIN 48 creates a model to address uncertainty in tax positions and clarifies the accounting for income taxes by prescribing a minimum recognition threshold which all income tax positions must achieve to meet before being recognized in the financial statements. In addition, FIN 48 requires expanded annual disclosures, including a roll-forward of the beginning and ending aggregate unrecognized tax benefits as well as specific detail related to tax uncertainties for which it is reasonably possible the amount of unrecognized tax benefit will significantly increase or decrease within twelve months. The Company adopted FIN 48 is effective for us on January 1, 2007. Any differences between the amounts recognized in the statements of financial position prior2007 with no adjustment necessary to the adoption of FIN 48 and the amounts reported after adoption are generally accounted for as a cumulative-effect adjustment recorded to the beginning balance of retained earnings. We are currently evaluating the impactThe total amount of FIN 48; however, it is not expected tounrecognized tax benefits from uncertain tax positions at January 1, 2007 was $10.3 million and would have a materialno impact on the consolidated financial statements upon adoption.Company's effective tax rate. There were no material changes to the amount recorded for unrecognized tax benefits from uncertain tax positions during the three months ended March 31, 2007. The Company recognizes accrued interest and penalties, if any, related to unrecognized tax benefits in income tax expense and changes in such accruals would impact the Company's effective tax rate. Amounts accrued for the payment of interest at March 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006 were not material. As of January 1, 2007, the Company's 2005 and 2006 tax years remain subject to examination by the IRS. 9 ITEM 2 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OF OPERATIONS - ------------- LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES ------------------------------- The Company generally experiences positive cash flow from operations resulting from the fact that premiums are collected on insurance policies in advance of the disbursement of funds in payment of claims. Operating costs of the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries, other than loss and loss expense payments and commissions paid to related agency companies, generally average less than 30% of premiums earned and the remaining amount is available for investment for varying periods of time pending the settlement of claims relating to the insurance coverage provided. The Company's cash flow relating to premiums is significantly affected by reinsurance programs in effect from time-to-time whereby the Company cedes both premium and risk to other insurance and reinsurance companies. These programs vary significantly among products and overall premium ceded rates, net of ceding commission allowances, have generally decreased since 2001, as Protective Insurance Company has accepted more net risk under the terms of annual reinsurance treaty renewals. For the nine monthsquarter ended September 30, 2006,March, 2007, the Company experienced positive cash flow from operations totaling $14.6$8.7 million and compares to $37.6$12.8 million generated during the first nine monthsquarter of 2005.2006. The $23.0$4.1 million drop in cash flow from the 20052006 period reflects a decline in premium revenue and related deposits and includes $18.5 million refunded on retrospectively rated policiesis due primarily to increased loss payment activity in the third quarter of 2006. Refunds of this magnitude will not occur in the future as most large retrospective policies have now been finalized.2007 period. For several years, the Company's investment philosophy has emphasized the purchase of relatively short-term instruments with maximum quality and liquidity. The average life of the Company's fixed income (bond and short-term investment) portfolio was 2.53.4 years at September 30, 2006,March 31, 2007, up slightly from the prior year end but still short relative to the Company's liability duration. Financing activity, other than the payment of dividends to shareholders, is generally not significant for the Company. Dividends paid forduring the nine monthsquarter ended September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 totaled $31.6$6.8 million and included extra dividends ($.20 per share) totaling $22.6$3.0 million. With the regular quarterly dividend rate at $.25 per share, the quarterly dividend commitment for the Company is currently $3.8 million. Also, during the second and third quarters, stock options, principally market value stock options granted in 1997, were exercised by employees producing $6.2 million in proceeds to the Company. Future proceeds from the exercise of stock options are not expected to be material. The Company's assets at September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 included $46.2$30.8 million in investments classified as cash or cash equivalents that were readily convertible to cash without significant market penalty. An additional $192.3$134.5 million of fixed maturity investments will mature within the twelve-month period following September 30, 2006.March 31, 2007. The Company believes that these liquid investments are more than sufficient to provide for projected claim payments and operating cost demands even before consideration of current cash flows. Consolidated shareholders' equity is composed largely of GAAP shareholder's equity of the insurance subsidiaries. As such, there are statutory restrictions on the transfer of portions of this equity to the parent holding company. At September 30, 2006, $20.6March 31, 2007, $21.7 million may be transferred by dividend or loan to the parent company during the remainder of 20062007 without approval by, or prior notification to, regulatory authorities. An additional $247.9$255.9 million of shareholder's equity of the insurance subsidiaries could, theoretically, be advanced or loaned to the parent holding company with prior notification to, and approval from, regulatory authorities, although it is unlikely that transfers of this size would be practical. The Company believes that these 10 restrictions pose no material liquidity concerns to the Company. The financial strength and stability of the subsidiaries would permit ready access by the parent company to short-term and long-term sources of credit. The parent company had cash and marketable securities valued at $41.2$30.6 million at September 30, 2006.March 31, 2007. 10 The Company's annualized premium writing to surplus ratio for the first nine monthsquarter of 20062007 was approximately 41%. Regulatory guidelines generally allow for writings of at least 200% of surplus. Accordingly, the Company could increase premium writings significantly with no need to raise additional capital. Further, the Insurance Subsidiaries'insurance subsidiaries' individual capital levels are several times higher than the minimum amounts designated by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS --------------------- COMPARISONS OF THIRDFIRST QUARTER, 20062007 TO THIRDFIRST QUARTER, 20052006 --------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned during the thirdfirst quarter of 2006 decreased $7.52007 increased $1.0 million (15%(2%) as compared to the same period of 2005.2006. The majorityCompany's independent contractor, voluntary reinsurance assumed and small fleet products reported significant increases of this decrease$2.9 million (21%), $2.8 million (99%) and $1.5 million (52%), respectively. The higher premium from reinsurance assumed is due to lost accounts inassociated with the Company's affiliation with Paladin Catastrophe Management which produced $2.7 million in premium during the first quarter. Increases in independent contractor and small fleet trucking segment resulting from competitive conditions inpremiums continued the marketplace. Private passenger automobile and reinsurance assumed premiums also declined by $1.2 million and $1.1 million, respectively, with the private passenger automobile decline the result of competitive conditions and the decline in reinsurance assumed resulting from reinstatement premium recorded in the third quarter of 2005 related to hurricane Katrina losses. These declinespattern experienced throughout 2006.These increases were partially offset by a $1.7decreases in the Company's large fleet excess and private passenger automobile products of $4.8 million increase in small fleet trucking premium earned resulting principally from geographic expansion.(42%) and $1.4 million (15%), respectively, each impacted by competitive market conditions. NOTE: THE INDEPENDENT CONTRACTOR AND LARGE FLEET EXCESS PRODUCTS ARE INCLUDED IN THE FLEET TRUCKING SEGMENT. Direct premiums written and assumed during the thirdfirst quarter of 20062007 totaled $47.9$53.1 million, a 14%10% decrease from the $55.8$58.9 million reported a year earlier in line with the lower premium earned,concentrated in the large fleet and private passenger automobile products, as discussed in the previous paragraph. Premium ceded to reinsurers averaged 13.4%13.0% of direct premium production for the current quarter compared to 16.1%13.7% a year earlier. Net investment income, before tax, during the thirdfirst quarter of 20062007 was 38%6% higher than the thirdfirst quarter of 20052006 due to increases in both average invested assets andyields in yields on bonds and short-termall categories of investments. Pre-tax yields on short-term investments were 69% higher thanaveraged 4.2% during the current quarter compared to 3.7% for the prior year period.period, offsetting the impact of a 4% drop in average invested assets. Overall after-tax yields increased by 34%20% to 3.3% as municipal bonds comprised a larger portion of the Company's fixed income portfolio during 2006.2007. The thirdfirst quarter 20062007 net investment gaingains of $3.0$.5 million resulted primarily from $1.6 million of gains on equity securities, including $.9 million in recoveries of prior impairment charges upon the net income of limited partnership investments of $3.1 million which was concentrated in our investment in a limited partnership which invests exclusively in India. During the third quarter of 2005, limited partnerships produced investment gains totaling $7.2 million, again with the majority of this attributable to trading in the Indian markets, and direct trading of securities netted a gain of $1.6 million. See footnote 3 to the enclosed financial statements for a more detailed discussion regarding the accounting policies and the net gains or losses reported for the Company's investments in limited partnerships. Losses and loss expenses incurred during the third quarter of 2006 were $21.0 million lower than that experienced during the third quarter of 2005 primarily due to hurricane losses occurring during the 2005 third quarter. Loss ratios for eachsale of the Company's major product linesrelated investments. These gains were as follows: 11
2006 2005 ------ ------ Fleet trucking 62.2% 75.2% Private passenger automobile 69.5 56.8 Small fleet trucking 60.4 64.7 Voluntary reinsurance assumed 26.0 339.4 All lines 61.0 93.9
The decline in loss ratio for fleet trucking results from favorable experience in the Company's independent contractor program while the increase in the private passenger automobile ratio is due to an increase in frequency and severity of accidents during the current quarter. The 2005 ratio for voluntary reinsurance assumed was adversely impacted by $14.8 million of losses related to hurricanes Katrina and Rita (partially offset by $1.8 million in reinstatement premium). Other operating expenses, for the third quarter of 2006, increased $2.0 million, or 20%, from the third quarter of 2005. The majority of this increase was attributable to the loss of ceding commission income associated with reinsurance treaty changes effective in June, 2005. Ceding allowances totaled $.2 million for the 2006 quarter compared to $1.5 million for the 2005 quarter. Adjusted for ceding allowances, other operating expenses were 6% higher than the third quarter of 2005 with most of this increase attributable to commissions on reinsurance assumed business as contingent commissions for the third quarter of 2005 were reduced significantly as the result of hurricane losses. The ratio of consolidated other operating expenses to operating revenue was 24.4% during the third quarter of 2006 compared to 17.9% for the 2005 third quarter, with the loss of ceding commission comprising 2.7 percentage points of this change. The remainder of the increase in the other operating expense ratio is due the decline in total revenues as a portion of the Company's expenses are fixed. The effective federal tax rate for consolidated operations for the third quarter of 2006 was 29.8% and is less than the statutory rate primarily because of tax exempt investment income. As a result of the factors mentioned above, and principally the lack of hurricane losses during the current quarter partially offset by lower limited partnership investment gains, net income increased $5.2 million (112.4%) during the third quarter of 2006 as compared with 2005. COMPARISONS OF NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2006 TO ------------------------------------------------------ NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2005 ------------------------------------ Net premiums earned during the first nine months of 2006 decreased $12.3 million (9%) as compared to the same period of 2005. The decrease is due primarily to decreases in premiums from the Company's fleet trucking and private passenger automobile programs of 12% and 11%, respectively, resulting from competitive pressures. In addition, the discontinuance of the Company's small business workers' compensation product late in 2004 accounted for $2.6 million of the overall decline in premiums for the current year period. Partially offsetting this decrease were increases in premiums from the Company's small fleet trucking and reinsurance assumed programs of 51% and 7%, respectively. The increase in small fleet trucking premium is due primarily to geographic expansion while the increase in reinsurance assumed premium reflects rate increases in 2006 exceeding the $1.8 million in hurricane-related reinstatement premium recorded in the third quarter of 2005. Direct premiums written and assumed during the first nine months of 2006 totaled $152.3 million, an 11% decrease from the $170.4 million reported a year earlier with changes generally in line with the changes in premium earned discussed in the previous paragraph. Premium ceded to reinsurers averaged 13.3% of direct premium production for the current period compared to 19.4% a year earlier. 12 Net investment income, before tax, during the first nine months of 2006 was 36% higher than the 2005 period for the same reasons as indicated in the quarterly comparison above. Overall pre-tax and after tax yields were higher during the current period while average invested funds increased 6% from the prior year. The net gain on investments of $8.8 million for the first nine months of 2006 consists of net gains on limited partnership investments and equity securities of $5.5 million and $3.9 million, respectively, and was partially offset by $.6 million in losses on fixed maturity investments. The gain from limited partnerships includes both realized and unrealized net income, as reported by the general partners. For the nine months, we have estimated that realized and unrealized gains increased $4.1fixed maturities of $.9 million and $1.4$.2 million, respectively. During the prior year,The first quarter 2006 investment gains of $7.0 million included $4.7 of gains from limited partnerships reported realized and unrealized gains totaling $10.5 million while direct securities trading produced gains netting to $5.9 million.partnerships. See footnote 3 to the enclosed financial statements for a more detailed discussion regarding the accounting policies and the net gains or losses reported for the Company's investments in limited partnerships. Losses and loss expenses incurred during the first nine monthsquarter of 2007 were $2.0 million lower than that experienced during the first quarter of 2006 decreased $23.9 million from the first nine months of 2005. The majority of the decrease in losses relates to the hurricane losses experience in the 2005 period. The remainder of the decreaseand is generally consistent with the decreased premium volume previously discussed. Loss and loss expense ratios for the comparative nine-month periods were as follows:
2006 2005 ------ ------ Fleet trucking 67.4% 72.0% Private passenger automobile 64.7 60.9 Small fleet trucking 69.0 58.1 Voluntary reinsurance assumed 39.0 173.2 All lines 64.6 76.0
The fluctuationsdecline in loss ratios for the nine months are similar to those discussed in the quarterly comparisons except that small fleet trucking premiums other than independent contractor. The Company also experienced highfavorable frequency and severity of losses duringaccidents for the second quarterfleet trucking segment in the current quarter. Loss ratios for each of the Company's major product lines were as follows: 11 2007 2006 associated with geographic expansion.---- ---- Fleet trucking 65.2% 74.8% Private passenger automobile 62.1 59.6 Small fleet trucking 55.7 69.0 Voluntary reinsurance assumed 48.4 33.3 All lines 60.9 67.0 Other operating expenses, increased $5.3 million (18%) duringfor the first nine monthsquarter of 2006 compared to2007, increased $2.1 million, or 19%, from the same periodfirst quarter of 2005. Ceding commission allowances included in net expenses were $1.02006. $.4 million for the 2006 period compared to $6.6 million in the prior year period, while expenses, before consideration of ceding allowances, were $.3 million lower than the 2005 period even after consideration of $.8 million in higher commissions on reinsurance assumed in 2006. The ratio of other operating expenses to total operating revenue (adjusted for investment gains)this increase was 23.9% for 2006 compared to 19.2% for 2005 with the entire increase attributable to the loss of ceding commission credits.income associated with reinsurance treaty changes effective in June, 2005. Ceding allowances totaled $.3 million for the 2007 quarter compared to $.7 million for the 2006 quarter. In addition, operating expenses for the first quarter of 2006 included a $.9 million recovery of previously written off reinsurance from bankrupt companies. The remainder of the increase is attributable to contingent commissions on reinsurance assumed business and commissions on new reinsurance assumed placements during the first quarter of 2007. The ratio of consolidated other operating expenses to operating revenue was 25.5% during the first quarter of 2007 compared to 21.7% for the 2006 first quarter. The effective federal tax rate for consolidated operations for the first nine monthsquarter of 20062007 was 30.2%26.5% and is less than the statutory rate primarily because of tax exempt investment income. As a result of the factors mentioned above, principally from lower limited partnership investment gains, net income increased $2.7decreased $3.3 million (11.0%(28.9%) during the first nine monthsquarter of 20062007 as compared with the 2005 period. 132006. FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION --------------------------- Any forward-looking statements in this report, including without limitation, statements relating to the Company's plans, strategies, objectives, expectations, intentions and adequacy of resources, are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties including without limitation the following: (i) the Company's plans, strategies, objectives, expectations and intentions are subject to change at any time at the discretion of the Company; (ii) the Company's business is highly competitive and the entrance of new competitors into or the expansion of the operations by existing competitors in the Company's markets and other changes in the market for insurance products could adversely affect the Company's plans and results of operations; (iii) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission; and (iv) other risks and factors which may be beyond the control or foresight of the Company. CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES ---------------------------- There have been no changes in the Company's critical accounting policies as disclosed in the Form 10-K filed for the year ended December 31, 20052006. CONCENTRATIONS OF CREDIT RISK ----------------------------- The insurance subsidiaries cede portions of their gross premiums to numerous reinsurers under quota share and excess of loss treaties as well as facultative placements. These reinsurers assume commensurate portions of the risk of loss covered by the contracts. As losses are reported and reserved, portions of the gross losses attributable to reinsurers are established as receivable assets and losses incurred are reduced. At September 30, 2006,March 31, 2007, amounts due from reinsurers on paid and 12 unpaid losses, including provisions for incurred but not reported losses, are estimated to total approximately $172$159 million. Included in this total are case basis and estimated IBNR losses of approximately $18.8$13.6 million due from Converium Insurance (North America) Inc., $5.0 million due from Quanta Re. and $3.6$2.9 million due from PMA Re., each of which have reported substantial reserve strengthening and/or impairment of assets which have negatively affected their reported financial positions. All amounts due from these reinsurers on paid claims are current as of September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 and the Company has no information at this time to indicate that all obligations of these reinsurers will not be met. At September 30, 2006,March 31, 2007, limited partnership investments includes approximately $35.0$37.9 million consisting of three partnerships which are managed by organizations in which twocertain of the Company's directors are officers, directors, general partners or owners. Each of these investments contain profit sharing agreements to the affiliated organizations. ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES - ------------------------------- (a) The Corporation's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer evaluated the disclosure controls and procedures (as defined under Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that the Corporation's disclosure controls and procedures are effective. (b) There were no significant changes in the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting identified in connection with the foregoing evaluation that occurred during the 14 Corporation's last fiscal quarter that have affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting. 13 PART II - OTHER INFORMATION ITEM 5 OTHER INFORMATION - ------------------------ Nothing to report. ITEM 6 (a) EXHIBITS - -------------------- NUMBER AND CAPTION FROM EXHIBIT TABLE OF REGULATION S-K ITEM 601 EXHIBIT NO. - -------------------------------- ----------- (11) Statement regarding computation EXHIBIT 11 - of per share earnings Computation of Per Share Earnings (31.1) Certification of CEO EXHIBIT 31.1 pursuant to Section 302 of the Certification of CEO Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (31.2) Certification of CFO EXHIBIT 31.2 pursuant to Section 302 of the Certification of CFO Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (32.1) Certification of CEO EXHIBIT 32.1 pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as Certification of CEO adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (32.2) Certification of CFO EXHIBIT 32.2 pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as Certification of CFO adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 ITEM 6 (b) REPORTS ON FORM 8-K - ------------------------------- A Form 8-K was filed by the registrant on August 1, 2006 regarding its routine earnings announcement for the second quarter of 2006. 1514 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. Date NOVEMBER 8, 2006MAY 4, 2007 By /S//s/ GARY W. MILLER ---------------- ------------------------------------------------------ ---------------------------------- Gary W. Miller, Chairman and CEO Date NOVEMBER 8, 2006MAY 4, 2007 By /S//s/ G. PATRICK CORYDON ---------------- ------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------- G. Patrick Corydon, Senior Vice President - Finance (Principal Financial and Accounting Officer) 1615 BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2006March 31, 2007 INDEX TO EXHIBITS BEGINS ON SEQUENTIAL PAGE NUMBER OF FORM EXHIBIT NUMBER 10-Q -------------- ----------------------------- EXHIBIT 11 Filed herewith electronically Computation of per share earnings EXHIBIT 31.1 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CEO pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 31.2 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CFO pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 32.1 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CEO pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 32.2 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CFO pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act