1
                       SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
                             WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

                                    FORM 10-Q

                   Quarterly Report Pursuant toUnder Section 13 or 15 (d)
                     of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934



             ------------------------------------------------------

          For Quarter Ended                     Commission file number
         March 31,September 30, 2007                             0-5534

                              BALDWIN & LYONS, INC.
             (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

               INDIANA                                35-0160330
               -------                                ----------
       (State or other jurisdiction of             (I.R.S. Employer
        incorporation or organization)           Identification Number)

1099 NORTH MERIDIAN STREET, INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANANorth Meridian Street, Indianapolis, Indiana        46204
- -------------------------------------------------        -----
        (Address of principal executive offices)       (Zip Code)

Registrant's telephone number, including area code:  (317) 636-9800
                                                     --------------

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required
to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
during the preceding 12 months, and (2) has been subject to such filing
requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes     [ X ]       No     [   ]

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an
accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of "accelerated
filer and large accelerated filer" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer [  ] Accelerated filer [X][ X ] Non-accelerated filer [  ]

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's classes of
common stock as of May 4,November 8, 2007:

               TITLE OF CLASS               NUMBER OF SHARES OUTSTANDING

Common Stock, No Par Value:
      Class A (voting)                                2,650,059
      Class B (nonvoting)                            12,488,95512,572,555


Index to Exhibits located on page 15.





                          Page 1 of a total of 22 pages16.

 2

                  PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) (UNAUDITED) MARCH 31 DECEMBERSEPTEMBER 30 December 31 2007 2006 ------------------- ------------------ ASSETS Investments: Fixed maturities $ 357,046365,984 $ 338,466 Equity securities 128,138129,357 129,817 Limited partnerships 61,34574,212 57,313 Short-term 42,32735,258 59,325 ------------------- ------------------ 588,856604,811 584,921 Cash and cash equivalents 30,81437,031 35,490 Accounts receivable 35,82534,033 37,994 Reinsurance recoverable 158,762138,099 163,426 Notes receivable from employees 2,2532,208 2,343 Other assets 30,63828,271 27,932 Current federal income taxes - 1,613 ------------------- ------------------ $ 847,148844,453 $ 853,719 =================== ================== LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Reserves for losses and loss expenses $ 401,660378,397 $ 409,412 Reserves for unearned premiums 35,07726,577 32,145 Accounts payable and accrued expenses 31,81339,848 35,681 Current federal income taxes 12,6139,952 - Deferred federal income taxes 7,31112,184 18,854 ------------------- ------------------ 488,474466,957 496,092 Shareholders' equity: Common stock-no par value 646650 646 Additional paid-in capital 45,77047,488 45,692 Unrealized net gains on investments 46,73149,222 47,229 Retained earnings 265,527280,136 264,060 ------------------- ------------------ 358,674377,496 357,627 ------------------- ------------------ $ 847,148844,453 $ 853,719 =================== ==================
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. 3
BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA) THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31 --------------------------------Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 ----------------------------------- --------------------------------- 2007 2006 2007 2006 ---------------- --------------- -------------- -------------- REVENUES Net premiums earned $44,175 $43,218$ 44,601 $ 42,333 $ 133,593 $ 127,714 Net investment income 4,846 4,5595,040 5,140 14,768 14,435 Net gains on investments 474 7,0146,421 2,958 15,667 8,837 Commissions and other income 1,412 1,8641,214 1,418 3,771 5,130 ---------------- -------------- -------------- 50,907 56,655--------------- 57,276 51,849 167,799 156,116 EXPENSES Losses and loss expenses incurred 26,892 28,93924,949 25,837 76,334 82,493 Other operating expenses 12,846 10,78715,555 11,931 41,963 35,131 ---------------- --------------- -------------- -------------- 39,738 39,72640,504 37,768 118,297 117,624 ---------------- -------------- -------------- --------------- INCOME BEFORE FEDERAL INCOME TAXES 11,169 16,92916,772 14,081 49,502 38,492 Federal income taxes 2,958 5,3735,058 4,202 14,786 11,630 ---------------- --------------- -------------- -------------- NET INCOME $8,211 $11,556$ 11,714 $ 9,879 $ 34,717 $ 26,862 ================ =============== ============== ============== PER SHARE DATA: BASIC EARNINGS $ .54.77 $ .78.65 $ 2.29 $ 1.79 ================ =============== ============== ============== DILUTED EARNINGS $ .54.77 $ .78.65 $ 2.29 $ 1.79 ================ =============== ============== ============== DIVIDENDS PAID TO SHAREHOLDERS $ .45.60 $ .35.25 $ 1.30 $ 2.10 ================ =============== ============== ============== RECONCILIATION OF SHARES OUTSTANDING: Average shares outstanding - basic 15,137 14,80515,189 15,108 15,158 14,965 Dilutive effect of options outstanding 20 8412 22 17 48 ---------------- --------------- -------------- -------------- Average shares outstanding - diluted 15,157 14,88915,201 15,130 15,175 15,013 ================ =============== ============== ==============
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. 4
BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (DOLLARS IN THOUSANDS) THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31Nine Months Ended September 30 2007 2006 --------------- --------------- Net cash provided by operating activities $ 8,73521,633 $ 12,83914,628 Investing activities: Purchases of long-term investments (78,819) (100,494)(202,458) (191,391) Proceeds from sales or maturities of long-term investments 56,168 54,826178,608 138,776 Net sales (purchases) of short-term investments 16,997 (4,340) Decrease in notes receivable from employees 10 1524,067 (18,065) Other investing activities (1,031) (45)(2,374) 1,470 --------------- --------------- Net cash used inprovided by (used in) investing activities (6,675) (50,038)(2,157) (69,210) Financing activities: Dividends paid to shareholders (6,813) (5,185)(19,734) (31,624) Cost of treasury stock - (401) Proceeds from sales of common stock 77 2481,799 6,238 --------------- --------------- Net cash used in financing activities (6,736) (5,338)(17,935) (25,787) --------------- --------------- DecreaseIncrease (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents (4,676) (42,537)1,541 (80,369) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 35,490 126,551 --------------- --------------- Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $ 30,81437,031 $ 84,01446,182 =============== ===============
See notes to condensed consolidated financial statements. NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (1) BASIS OF PRESENTATION: The accompanying unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q and do not include all of the information and notes required by generally accepted accounting principles for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ended December 31, 2007. Interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company's annual audited financial statements and other disclosures included in the Company's most recent Form 10-K. 5 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (2) FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: Forward-looking statements in this report are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Readers are encouraged to review the Company's annual report for its full statement regarding forward-looking information. 5 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (3) NET GAINS ON INVESTMENTS: Amounts reported as net gains on investments consist of three components: (1) net gains or losses realized upon the actual sale of investments managed directly by the Company's investment managers, (2) equity in realized and unrealized earnings or losses of investments in limited partnerships and (3) "other-than-temporary impairment" adjustments. The Company accounts for investments in limited partnerships using the equity method of accounting, which requires an investor in a limited partnership to record its proportionate share of the limited partnership's net income. To the extent that the limited partnership investees are subject to investment company accounting and, thereby, include both realized and unrealized investment gains or losses in the determination of net income or loss, then the Company would also recognize, through its income statement, its proportionate share of the investee's unrealized as well as realized investment gains or losses. The Company invests in limited partnerships that include both realized and unrealized investment gains or losses in the determination of their net income. Readers are cautioned that inclusion of such unrealized gains is not consistent with the recognition of temporary valuation changes of equity and debt securities that are directly owned and heldclassified as available for sale and may result in significant fluctuations in quarterly amounts reported under this caption. In addition, because of inherent time lags in receiving valuation reports from certain limited partnership investees, the Company must often rely on estimations of valuation changes for the most recent month or quarter ended on the reporting date. To the extent that the actual valuations subsequently reported differ from estimates utilized, the differences are included in gains or losses from investments in the quarter reported to the Company. Following is a summary of the components of net gains or losses on investments for the periods presented in the accompanying statements of income.
THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30 ------------------------------ ----------------------------- 2007 2006 ---------------- ----------------2007 2006 ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------ Realized net gains on the disposal of securities $ 466377 $ 1,754449 $ 1,894 $ 4,007 Equity in earnings (losses) of limited partnership investments (realized and unrealized) (897) 4,7286,350 3,089 13,174 5,505 Impairment: Write-downs based upon objective criteria (63) -(457) (580) (520) (1,343) Recovery of prior write-downs upon sale or disposal 968 532 ---------------- ----------------151 - 1,119 668 ------------- ------------- ------------- ------------ Totals $ 4746,421 $ 7,014 ================ ================2,958 $ 15,667 $ 8,837 ============= ============= ============= ============
6 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) The net lossesgains from limited partnerships for the quarter and year-to-date ending March 31,September 30, 2007 include an estimated $3.6$4.7 million and $7.6 million, respectively, of unrealized lossesgains reported to the Company as part of the operations of the various limited partnerships. Shareholders' equity at March 31,September 30, 2007 includes approximately $14.9$23.5 million, net of deferred federal income taxes, of earnings undistributed by limited partnerships. 6 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (4) REINSURANCE: The following table summarizes the Company's transactions with reinsurers for the 2007 and 2006 comparative periods.
2007 2006 ------------ ----------------------- ----------- Quarter ended March 31:September 30: Premiums ceded to reinsurers $ 6,1179,589 $ 7,6065,961 Losses and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers 4,410 1,900(9,503) 7,472 Commissions from reinsurers 292 690589 177 Nine months ended September 30: Premiums ceded to reinsurers 22,682 18,969 Losses and loss expenses ceded to reinsurers 583 12,587 Commissions from reinsurers 1,231 988
Negative losses and loss expenses ceded for the current quarter include savings recognized on the closing of several large prior year claims in which reinsurance participation was significant. (5) COMPREHENSIVE INCOME OR LOSS: Total realized and unrealized income for the quarter ended March 31,September 30, 2007 was $7,782$11,255 and compares to total realized and unrealized income of $14,735$14,473 for the quarter ended March 31,September 30, 2006. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, total realized and unrealized income was $37,803 and compares to total realized and unrealized income of $30,116 for the nine months ended September 30, 2006. 7 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (6) REPORTABLE SEGMENTS - PROFIT OR LOSS: The following table provides certain profit and loss information for each reportable segment. All amounts presented are computed based upon generally accepted accounting principles. Segment profit for fleet trucking includes the direct marketing agency operations conducted by the parent company for this segment and is computed after elimination of inter-company commissions. Amounts presented for voluntary reinsurance assumed include transactions related to certain inter-segment reinsurance agreements.
2007 2006 -------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------ DIRECT Direct AND DirectNET and Net ASSUMED NET PREMIUM SEGMENT Assumed Net Premium Segment PREMIUM EARNED AND PROFIT Premium Earned and Profit WRITTEN FEE INCOME (LOSS) Written Fee Income (Loss) ---------- ------------ ------------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ----------- THREE MONTHSQUARTER ENDED MARCH 31:SEPTEMBER 30: PROTECTIVE PRODUCTS: Fleet trucking $ 30,88534,037 $ 26,17226,188 $ 5,3017,193 $ 34,56130,561 $ 28,11926,695 $ 4,7546,343 Reinsurance assumed 5,823 6,383 2,031 3,277 3,338 1,8707,720 8,185 915 3,322 3,517 1,931 SAGAMORE PRODUCTS: Private passenger automobile 10,201 8,693 946 14,127 10,237 1,0664,640 7,448 570 6,965 9,364 419 Small fleet trucking 6,116 4,094 74 6,731 2,843 33,847 3,881 57 6,917 3,945 (22) All other 77 106 200 240 320 22938 47 (80) 109 140 (255) ---------- ------------ ------------- ------------ ----------------------- ------------ ----------- Totals $ 53,10250,282 $ 45,44845,749 $ 8,5528,655 $ 58,93647,874 $ 44,85743,661 $ 7,9228,416 ========== ============ ========================= ============ ============ =========== NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30: PROTECTIVE PRODUCTS: Fleet trucking 96,143 $ 78,448 $ 20,195 $ 94,830 $ 81,431 $ 16,513 Reinsurance assumed 20,373 22,099 5,333 9,473 10,653 4,784 SAGAMORE PRODUCTS: Private passenger automobile 19,327 24,394 1,991 27,414 29,643 2,237 Small fleet trucking 14,878 12,070 221 20,462 10,318 (464) All other (28) 81 285 94 367 (334) ---------- ------------ ------------ ------------ ------------ ----------- Totals $150,693 $137,092 $ 28,025 $152,273 $132,412 $ 22,736 ========== ============ ============ ============ ============ ===========
8 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (7) REPORTABLE SEGMENTS - RECONCILIATION TO CONSOLIDATED REVENUE AND CONSOLIDATED PROFIT OR LOSS: The following tables are reconciliations of reportable segment revenues and profit or loss to the Company's consolidated revenue and income before federal income taxes, respectively.
Three Months Ended March 31Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2007 2006 ------------- --------------2007 2006 --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- REVENUE: Net premium earned and fee income $ 45,44845,749 $ 44,85743,661 $ 137,092 $ 132,412 Net investment income 4,846 4,5595,040 5,140 14,768 14,435 Net gains on investments 474 7,0146,421 2,958 15,667 8,837 Other 139 225 ------------- --------------66 90 272 432 --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- Total consolidated revenue $ 50,90757,276 $ 56,655 ============= ==============51,849 $ 167,799 $ 156,116 =============== =============== =============== =============== PROFIT: Segment profit $ 8,5528,655 $ 7,9228,416 $ 28,025 $ 22,736 Net investment income 4,846 4,5595,040 5,140 14,768 14,435 Net gains on investments 474 7,0146,421 2,958 15,667 8,837 Corporate expenses (2,703) (2,566) ------------- --------------(3,344) (2,433) (8,958) (7,516) --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- Income before federal income taxes $ 11,16916,772 $ 16,929 ============= ==============14,081 $ 49,502 $ 38,492 =============== =============== =============== ===============
Management does not identify or allocate assets to reportable segments when evaluating segment performance and depreciation expense is not material for any of the reportable segments. 8 NOTES TO CONDENSED UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (CONTINUED) (8) LOANS TO EMPLOYEES: In 2000, 2001 and 2002 the Company provided loans to certain employees for the sole purpose of purchasing the Company's Class B common stock in the open market. $7,260 of such full-recourse loans were issued and $2,253$2,208 remain outstanding at March 31,September 30, 2007 and carry interest rates of between 4.75% and 6%, payable annually on the loan anniversary date. The underlying securities serve as collateral for these loans, which must be repaid no later than 10 years from the date of issue. No additional loans will be made under this program. (9) ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS: In July 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued FASB Interpretation No. 48, ACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY IN INCOME TAXES - AN INTERPRETATION OF FASB STATEMENT 109 ("FIN 48"). Among other things, FIN 48 creates a model to address uncertainty in tax positions and clarifies the accounting for income taxes by prescribing a minimum recognition threshold whichthat all income tax positions must achieve to meet before being recognized in the financial statements. In addition, FIN 48 requires expanded annual disclosures, including a roll-forward of the beginning and ending aggregate unrecognized tax benefits as well as specific detail related to tax uncertainties for which it is reasonably possible the amount of unrecognized tax benefit will significantly increase or decrease within twelve months. The Company adopted FIN 48 on January 1, 2007 with no adjustment necessary to beginning retained earnings. The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits from uncertain tax positions at January 1, 2007 was $10.3 million and would have no impact on the Company's effective tax rate. There were no material changes to the amount recorded for unrecognized tax benefits from uncertain tax positions during the three months ended March 31,September 30, 2007. The Company recognizes accrued interest and penalties, if any, related to unrecognized tax benefits in income tax expense and changes in such accruals would impact the Company's 9 effective tax rate. Amounts accrued for the payment of interest at March 31,September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 were not material. As of January 1, 2007, theThe Company's 2005 and 2006 tax years remain subject to examination by the IRS. 9 ITEM 2 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS - ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OF OPERATIONS - ------------- LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES ------------------------------- The Company generally experiences positive cash flow from operations resulting from the fact that premiums are collected on insurance policies in advance of the disbursement of funds in payment of claims. Operating costs of the property/casualty insurance subsidiaries, other than loss and loss expense payments and commissions paid to related agency companies, generally average less than 30% of premiums earned and the remaining amount is available for investment for varying periods of time pending the settlement of claims relating to the insurance coverage provided. The Company's cash flow relating to premiums is significantly affected by reinsurance programs in effect from time-to-time whereby the Company cedes both premium and risk to other insurance and reinsurance companies. These programs vary significantly among products and overall premium ceded rates, net of ceding commission allowances, have generally decreased since 2001, as Protective Insurance Company has accepted more net risk under the terms of annual reinsurance treaty renewals. For the quarterfirst nine months ended March,September 30, 2007, the Company experienced positive cash flow from operations totaling $8.7$21.6 million andwhich compares to $12.8$14.6 million generated during the first quarternine months of 2006. The $4.1$7.0 million dropincrease in cash flow from the 20062007 period is due primarily to the 2006 period experiencing a cash usage for refunds of premiums related to retrospectively rated policies partially offset by increased loss payment activity in 2007, including the 2007 period.timing of reinsurance loss recoveries. For several years, the Company's investment philosophy has emphasized the purchase of relatively short-term instruments with maximum quality and liquidity. The average expected life and contractual life of the Company's fixed income (bond and short-term investment) portfolio was 3.43.1 and 4.1 years, respectively at March 31,September 30, 2007, up slightly from the prior year end but still short relative to the Company's liability duration. Financing activity, other than the payment of dividends to shareholders, is generally not significant for the Company. Dividends paid during the quarternine months ended March 31,September 30, 2007 totaled $6.8$19.7 million and included extra dividends ($.20 per share) totaling $3.0$8.3 million. With theThe fourth quarter 2007 regular quarterlydeclared dividend rate atof $.25 per share and the quarterlyfourth quarter extra declared dividend commitment of $.10 per share for the Company in total is currently $3.8$5.3 million. The Company's assets at March 31,September 30, 2007 included $30.8$37.0 million in investments classified as cash or cash equivalents that were readily convertible to cash without significant market penalty. An additional $134.5$105.6 million of fixed maturity and short-term investments will mature within the twelve-month period following March 31,September 30, 2007. The Company believes that these liquid investments are more than sufficient to provide for projected claim payments and operating cost demands even before consideration of current positive cash flows. Consolidated shareholders' equity is composed largely of GAAP shareholder's equity of the insurance subsidiaries. As such, there are statutory restrictions on the transfer of portions of this equity to the parent holding company. At March 31,September 30, 2007, $21.7$35.0 million may be transferred by dividend or loan to the parent company during the remainder of 2007 without approval by, or prior notification to, regulatory authorities. An additional $255.9$257.5 million of shareholder's equity of the insurance subsidiaries could, theoretically, be advanced or loaned to the parent holding 10 company with prior notification to, and approval from, regulatory authorities, although it is unlikely that transfers of this size would be practical. The Company believes that these restrictions pose no material liquidity concerns to the Company. The financial strength and stability of the subsidiaries would permit ready access by the parent company to short-term and long-term sources of credit. The parent company had cash and marketable securities valued at $30.6$19.1 million at March 31,September 30, 2007. 10 The Company's annualized premium writing to surplus ratio for the first quarternine months of 2007 was approximately 41%36%. Regulatory guidelines generally allow for writings of at least 200% of surplus. Accordingly, the Company could increase premium writings significantly with no need to raise additional capital. Further, the insurance subsidiaries'Insurance Subsidiaries' individual capital levels are several times higher than the minimum amounts designated by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS --------------------- COMPARISONS OF FIRSTTHIRD QUARTER, 2007 TO FIRSTTHIRD QUARTER, 2006 --------------------------------------------------------- Net premiums earned during the firstthird quarter of 2007 increased $1.0$2.3 million (2%(5%) as compared to the same period of 2006. The Company's independent contractor, voluntary reinsurance assumed and small fleetindependent contractor products reported significant increases of $2.9$4.7 million (21%), $2.8 million (99%(163%) and $1.5$2.6 million (52%(18.4%), respectively. The higher premium from reinsurance assumed is associated with the Company's affiliation with Paladin Catastrophe Management which produced $2.7$4.2 million in premium during the firstthird quarter. Increases in independent contractor and small fleet premiums continued the pattern experienced throughout 2006.These2006 and the first six months of 2007. These increases were partially offset by decreases in the Company's large fleet excess and private passenger automobile products of $4.8$3.2 million (42%(32%) and $1.4$1.7 million (15%(20%), respectively, each impacted by competitive market conditions. NOTE: THE INDEPENDENT CONTRACTOR AND LARGE FLEET EXCESS PRODUCTS ARE INCLUDED INBOTH COMPONENTS OF THE FLEET TRUCKING SEGMENT. Direct premiums written and assumed during the firstthird quarter of 2007 totaled $53.1$50.3 million, a 10% decrease5% increase from the $58.9$47.9 million reported a year earlier with the lowerhigher premium concentrated in the large fleetreinsurance assumed and private passenger automobileindependent contractor products, as discussed in the previous paragraph. Premium ceded to reinsurers averaged 13.0%22.6% of direct premium production for the current quarter compared to 13.7%13.4% a year earlier. The increase in the ceding rate reflects a higher concentration of premium volume during 2007 in products which are more heavily reinsured and reinsurance treaty renewals effective June 3, 2007 whereby Protective is ceding a larger share of direct premium to reinsurers on fleet trucking business. Net investment income, before tax, during the firstthird quarter of 2007 was 6%2% lower than the third quarter of 2006 primarily due to the redeployment of invested assets to municipal bonds carrying lower pre-tax, but higher after tax yields. After tax investment income increased 5% when compared to the prior year third quarter. Average invested funds decreased approximately 3% compared to the third quarter of 2006 primarily due to cash dividends paid to shareholders. The third quarter 2007 net investment gains of $6.4 million and the third quarter 2006 net investment gains of $3.0 million were primarily the result of gains from limited partnership investments. The limited partnership gains were primarily concentrated in our investment in a limited partnership which invests exclusively in India. See footnote 3 to the enclosed financial statements for a more detailed discussion regarding the accounting policies and the net gains or losses reported for the Company's investments in limited partnerships. 11 Losses and loss expenses incurred during the third quarter of 2007 were $.9 million lower than that experienced during the third quarter of 2006. This decrease is principally the result of approximately $11 million of favorable developments on prior accident years during the 2007 third quarter, inclusive of savings related to retrospective policies and reinsurance assumed, compared to the prior year period when reserve development savings were approximately $7.8 million. Current period losses, including a provision for incurred but not reported losses were approximately 7% higher than the first2006 period, primarily from reinsurance assumed losses associated with Midwest U.S. tornado and hail activity. Loss ratios for each of the Company's major product lines were as follows:
2007 2006 ------- ------ Fleet trucking 49.1% 62.2% Private passenger automobile 66.1 69.5 Small fleet trucking 59.2 60.4 Reinsurance assumed 66.6 26.0 All lines 56.0 61.0
Other operating expenses for the third quarter of 2007 increased $3.6 million (30%) from the third quarter of 2006. This increase was primarily attributable to commissions on independent contractor business produced by outside agents as well as commissions associated with the doubling of the Company's book of reinsurance assumed business. Ceding allowances were immaterial in both periods. The ratio of consolidated other operating expenses to operating revenue (adjusted for investment gains) was 30.6% during the third quarter of 2007 compared to 24.4% for the 2006 third quarter with the increase resulting directly from the commission increases previously discussed. The effective federal tax rate for consolidated operations for the third quarter of 2007 was 30.1% and is less than the statutory rate primarily because of tax exempt investment income. As a result of the factors mentioned above, net income increased $1.8 million (19%) during the third quarter of 2007 as compared with the 2006 third quarter. COMPARISONS OF NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2007 TO NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2006 Net premiums earned during the first nine months of 2007 increased $5.9 million (5%) as compared to the same period of 2006. The increase is due primarily to increases in premiums from the Company's reinsurance assumed, independent contractor and small fleet trucking programs of 124%, 23% and, 19% respectively. The higher premium from reinsurance assumed is associated with the Company's affiliation with Paladin Catastrophe Management which produced $10.6 million in premium during the first nine months of 2007. Partially offsetting this increase were decreases in premiums from the Company's large fleet excess and private passenger automobile programs of 37% and 18%, respectively, resulting from competitive market conditions. Direct premiums written and assumed during the first nine months of 2007 totaled $150.7 million, a 1% decrease from the $152.3 million reported a year earlier. This decrease was due primarily to decreases in large fleet excess, private passenger automobile and small fleet trucking premiums and was partially offset by increases in premium writings from the Company's reinsurance assumed and independent contractor products. Premium ceded to reinsurers averaged 17.4% of direct premium production for the current period compared to 13.3% a year earlier. 12 Net investment income, before tax, was 2.3% higher, during the first nine months of 2007, than the 2006 period due to increases in pre-tax yields infor all categories of investments. Pre-tax yields averaged 4.2% during the current quarter compared to 3.7% for the prior year period, offsetting theinvestment categories. The impact of the higher pre-tax yields was somewhat diminished by a 4% drop in average invested assets. Overall after-tax yieldsAverage invested funds decreased primarily due to cash dividends paid to shareholders. Net after tax investment income, however, increased by 20% to 3.3%9.4% during the 2007 period as the result of increased use of municipal bonds, as discussed in the quarterly comparison. The net gain on investments of $15.7 million for the first nine months of 2007 consists of net gains on limited partnership investments and equity securities of $13.2 million and $2.9 million, respectively and was offset by $.4 million in losses on fixed maturity investments. The limited partnership gains were primarily concentrated in our investment in a limited partnership which invests exclusively in India. The net gain from limited partnerships includes both realized and unrealized net income, as reported by the general partners. For the nine months, we have estimated that the limited partnership gains were comprised a larger portion of the Company's fixed income portfolio during 2007. The first quarter 2007 net investmentrealized and unrealized gains of $.5$5.6 million resulted primarily from $1.6and $7.6 million, respectively. The net gain on investments of $8.8 million for the first nine months of 2006 consists of net gains on limited partnership investments and equity securities including $.9of $5.5 million in recoveries of prior impairment charges upon the sale of the related investments. These gains wereand $3.9 million, respectively, and was partially offset by $.6 million in losses from limited partnerships andon fixed maturities of $.9 million and $.2 million, respectively. The first quarter 2006 investment gains of $7.0 million included $4.7 of gains from limited partnerships.maturity investments. See footnote 3 to the enclosed financial statements for a more detailed discussion regarding the accounting policies and the net gains or losses reported for the Company's investments in limited partnerships. Losses and loss expenses incurred during the first quarternine months of 2007 decreased $6.2 million from the first nine months of 2006, with the lower losses resulting from favorable developments on prior accident years totaling $20.7 million, including savings on retrospectively rated policies and reinsurance assumed, compared to $14.4 million in savings recognized in the first nine months of 2006. Loss and loss expense ratios for the comparative nine-month periods were $2.0as follows:
2007 2006 ------ ------ Fleet trucking 55.6% 67.4% Private passenger automobile 65.4 64.7 Small fleet trucking 57.6 69.0 Reinsurance assumed 55.3 39.0 All lines 57.1 64.6
Other operating expenses increased $6.8 million lower than that experienced(19%) during the first quarternine months of 20062007 compared to the same period of 2006. The increase in expenses is due primarily to increased non-affiliated agent commissions on independent contractor business and is generally consistent with the decline in fleet trucking premiums other than independent contractor. The Company also experienced favorable frequency and severity of accidents for the fleet trucking segment in the current quarter. Loss ratios for each of the Company's major product lines were as follows: 11 2007 2006 ---- ---- Fleet trucking 65.2% 74.8% Private passenger automobile 62.1 59.6 Small fleet trucking 55.7 69.0 Voluntary reinsurance assumed 48.4 33.3 All lines 60.9 67.0 Other operating expenses, forand the first quarter of 2007, increased $2.1 million, or 19%, from the first quarter of 2006. $.4 million of this increase was attributable to the loss of ceding commission income associated with reinsurance treaty changes effective in June, 2005. Ceding allowances totaled $.3 million for the 2007 quarter compared to $.7 million forfact that the 2006 quarter. In addition, operating expenses forperiod included the first quarterrecovery of 2006 included a $.9 million recovery of previously written off reinsurance from bankrupt companies. The remainder of the increase is attributable to contingent commissions on reinsurance assumed business and commissions on new reinsurance assumed placements during the first quarter of 2007.bad debts which was recorded as expense offset. The ratio of consolidated other operating expenses to total operating revenue (adjusted for investment gains) was 25.5% during the first quarter of27.6% for 2007 compared to 21.7%23.9% for 2006 for the 2006 first quarter.reasons mentioned. The effective federal tax rate for consolidated operations for the first quarternine months of 2007 was 26.5%29.9% and is less than the statutory rate primarily because of tax exempt investment income. As a result of the factors mentioned above, principally from lower limited partnership investment gains, net income decreased $3.3increased $7.9 million (28.9%(29%) during the first quarternine months of 2007 as compared with 2006.the 2006 period. FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION --------------------------- Any forward-looking statements in this report, including without limitation, statements relating to the Company's plans, strategies, objectives, expectations, intentions and adequacy of 13 resources, are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Investors are cautioned that such forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties including without limitation the following: (i) the Company's plans, strategies, objectives, expectations and intentions are subject to change at any time at the discretion of the Company; (ii) the Company's business is highly competitive and the entrance of new competitors into or the expansion of the operations by existing competitors in the Company's markets and other changes in the market for insurance products could adversely affect the Company's plans and results of operations; (iii) other risks and uncertainties indicated from time to time in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission; and (iv) other risks and factors which may be beyond the control or foresight of the Company. CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES ---------------------------- There have been no changes in the Company's critical accounting policies as disclosed in the Form 10-K filed for the year ended December 31, 2006. CONCENTRATIONS OF CREDIT RISK ----------------------------- The insurance subsidiaries cede portions of their gross premiums to numerous reinsurers under quota share and excess of loss treaties as well as facultative placements. These reinsurers assume commensurate portions of the risk of loss covered by the contracts. As losses are reported and reserved, portions of the gross losses attributable to reinsurers are established as receivable assets and losses incurred are reduced. At March 31,September 30, 2007, amounts due from reinsurers on paid and 12 unpaid losses, including provisions for incurred but not reported losses, are estimated to total approximately $159$138 million. Included in this total are case basis and estimated IBNR losses of approximately $13.6$12.7 million due from Converium Insurance (North America) Inc. and $2.9$3.0 million due from PMA Re., each of which have reported substantial reserve strengthening and/or impairment of assets which have negatively affected their reported financial positions. All amounts due from these reinsurers on paid claims are current as of March 31,September 30, 2007 and the Company has no information at this time to indicate that all obligations of these reinsurers will not be met. At March 31,September 30, 2007, limited partnership investments includesinclude approximately $37.9$49.5 million consisting of three partnerships which are managed by organizations in which certain of the Company's directors are officers, directors, general partners or owners. Each of these investments containcontains profit sharing agreements to the affiliated organizations. ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES - ------------------------------- (a) The Corporation's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer evaluated the disclosure controls and procedures (as defined under Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that the Corporation's disclosure controls and procedures are effective. (b) There were no significant changes in the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting identified in connection with the foregoing evaluation that occurred during the Corporation's last fiscal quarter that have affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Corporation's internal control over financial reporting. 13 PART II - OTHER INFORMATION ITEM 5 OTHER INFORMATION - ------------------------ Nothing to report. ITEM 6 (a) EXHIBITS - -------------------- NUMBER AND CAPTION FROM EXHIBIT TABLE OF REGULATION S-K ITEM 601 EXHIBIT NO. - -------------------------------- ----------- (11) Statement regarding computation EXHIBIT 11 - of per share earnings Computation of Per Share Earnings (31.1) Certification of CEO EXHIBIT 31.1 pursuant to Section 302 of the Certification of CEO Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (31.2) Certification of CFO EXHIBIT 31.2 pursuant to Section 302 of the Certification of CFO Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (32.1) Certification of CEO EXHIBIT 32.1 pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as Certification of CEO adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (32.2) Certification of CFO EXHIBIT 32.2 pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as Certification of CFO adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 ITEM 6 (b) REPORTS ON FORM 8-K - ------------------------------- A Form 8-K was filed by the registrant on August 6, 2007 regarding its earnings announcement for the second quarter of 2007. 1415 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. Date MAY 4,November 8, 2007 By /s/ GARY W. MILLER ---------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- Gary W. Miller, Chairman and CEO Date MAY 4,November 8, 2007 By /s/ G. PATRICK CORYDON ---------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------- G. Patrick Corydon, Senior Vice President - Finance (Principal Financial and Accounting Officer) 1516 BALDWIN & LYONS, INC. Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended March 31,September 30, 2007 INDEX TO EXHIBITS BEGINS ON SEQUENTIAL PAGE NUMBER OF FORM EXHIBIT NUMBER 10-Q -------------- ----------------------------- EXHIBIT 11 Filed herewith electronically Computation of per share earnings EXHIBIT 31.1 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CEO pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 31.2 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CFO pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 32.1 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CEO pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act EXHIBIT 32.2 Filed herewith electronically Certification of CFO pursuant to 18 U.S.C. 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act