UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D. C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

 

þQUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period endedMarch 31,June 30, 2014

OR

 

¨TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                    to                    

Commission file number1-8661

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

 

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

NEW JERSEY

 

13-2595722

(State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S.I. R. S. Employer
incorporation or organization) Identification No.)

15 MOUNTAIN VIEW ROAD, WARREN, NEW JERSEY

 

07059

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code(908) 903-2000

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

 

YES  þ      NO  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (232.405(§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).

 

YES  þ      NO  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

 

Large accelerated filer  þ Accelerated filer  ¨  Non-accelerated filer  ¨ Smaller reporting company  ¨
   (Do not check if a smaller reporting company)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).

 

YES  ¨      NO  þ

The number of shares of common stock outstanding as of March 31,June 30, 2014 was 244,486,040.240,483,744.

 

 

 


THE CHUBB CORPORATION

INDEX

 

   Page Number 

Part I. Financial Information:

  

Item 1 — Financial Statements:

  

Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months and Six Months Ended March 31,June 30, 2014 and 2013

   1  

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income for the Three Months and Six Months Ended March 31,June  30, 2014 and 2013

   2  

Consolidated Balance Sheets as of March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013

   3  

Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity for the ThreeSix Months Ended March 31,June 30, 2014 and 2013

   4  

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the ThreeSix Months Ended March 31,June 30, 2014 and 2013

   5  

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

   6  

Item 2 — Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

   19  

Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

52

Item 4 — Controls and Procedures

   4952  

Part II. Other Information:

  

Item 1A — Risk Factors

   5053  

Item 2 — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

   5053  

Item 6 — Exhibits

   5154  

Signatures

   5154  

EX-10.2

EX-10.3

EX-31.1

  

EX-31.2

  

EX-32.1

  

EX-32.2

  

EX-101 INSTANCE DOCUMENT

  

EX-101 SCHEMA DOCUMENT

  

EX-101 CALCULATION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

  

EX-101 LABELS LINKBASE DOCUMENT

  

EX-101 PRESENTATION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

  

EX-101 DEFINITION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

  


 

Page 1

Part I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

Item 1 — Financial Statements

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

THREE MONTHSPERIODS ENDED MARCH 31JUNE 30

(in millions)

 

  Second Quarter Six Months 
  2014   2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 

Revenues

         

Premiums Earned

  $3,029    $3,004    $3,064   $2,995   $6,093   $5,999  

Investment Income

   358     372     351    368    709    740  

Other Revenues

   3     3     2    9    5    12  

Realized Investment Gains (Losses), Net

         

Total Other-Than-Temporary Impairment Losses on Investments

        (2   (5  (5  (5  (7

Other Realized Investment Gains, Net

   116     140     130    184    246    324  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total Realized Investment Gains, Net

   116     138     125    179    241    317  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total Revenues

   3,506     3,517     3,542    3,551    7,048    7,068  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Losses and Expenses

         

Losses and Loss Expenses

   1,845     1,568     1,792    1,694    3,637    3,262  

Amortization of Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

   622     587     630    617    1,252    1,204  

Other Insurance Operating Costs and Expenses

   356     359     366    358    722    717  

Investment Expenses

   11     13     9    13    20    26  

Other Expenses

   5     6     5    11    10    17  

Corporate Expenses

   64     68     62    62    126    130  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total Losses and Expenses

   2,903     2,601     2,864    2,755    5,767    5,356  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Income Before Federal and Foreign Income Tax

   603     916     678    796    1,281    1,712  

Federal and Foreign Income Tax

   154     260     179    217    333    477  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net Income

  $449    $656    $499   $579   $948   $1,235  
  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net Income Per Share

         

Basic

  $1.81    $2.49    $2.03   $2.22   $3.84   $4.72  

Diluted

   1.80     2.48     2.03    2.21    3.83    4.69  

Dividends Declared Per Share

   .50     .44     .50    .44    1.00    .88  

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.


 

Page 2

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

THREE MONTHSPERIODS ENDED MARCH 31JUNE 30

(in millions)

 

  Second Quarter Six Months 
  2014 2013   2014   2013 2014 2013 

Net Income

  $  449   $  656    $  499    $  579   $  948   $  1,235  
  

 

  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

 

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss), Net of Tax

         

Change in Unrealized Appreciation of Investments

   235   4     238     (700  473    (696

Change in Postretirement Benefit Costs Not Yet Recognized in Net Income

   6    17     5     14    11    31  

Foreign Currency Translation Losses

   (19)  (50

Foreign Currency Translation Gains (Losses)

   4     28    (15  (22
  

 

  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

 
   222    (29   247     (658  469    (687
  

 

  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

 

Comprehensive Income

  $671   $627  

Comprehensive Income (Loss)

  $746    $(79 $1,417   $548  
  

 

  

 

   

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

 

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.


 

Page 3

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(in millions)

 

  March 31
2014
 December 31
2013
   June 30
2014
 December 31
2013
 

Assets

      

Invested Assets

      

Short Term Investments

  $1,693   $2,114    $1,845   $2,114  

Fixed Maturities (cost $36,331 and $35,959)

   37,825    37,091  

Equity Securities (cost $1,111 and $1,057)

   1,863    1,810  

Fixed Maturities (cost $36,313 and $35,959)

   38,062    37,091  

Equity Securities (cost $1,106 and $1,057)

   1,969    1,810  

Other Invested Assets

   1,555    1,598     1,595    1,598  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

TOTAL INVESTED ASSETS

   42,936    42,613     43,471    42,613  

Cash

   57    52     55    52  

Accrued Investment Income

   419    418     417    418  

Premiums Receivable

   2,200    2,284     2,420    2,284  

Reinsurance Recoverable on Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses

   1,767    1,802     1,729    1,802  

Prepaid Reinsurance Premiums

   282    290     278    290  

Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

   1,265    1,255     1,286    1,255  

Deferred Income Tax

       47         47  

Goodwill

   467    467     467    467  

Other Assets

   1,397    1,205     1,317    1,205  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

TOTAL ASSETS

  $50,790   $50,433    $51,440   $50,433  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Liabilities

      

Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses

  $23,137   $23,146    $  23,127   $23,146  

Unearned Premiums

   6,439    6,423     6,588    6,423  

Long Term Debt

   3,300    3,300     3,300    3,300  

Dividend Payable to Shareholders

   124    110     122    110  

Deferred Income Tax

   131         259      

Accrued Expenses and Other Liabilities

   1,433    1,357     1,546    1,357  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES

   34,564    34,336     34,942    34,336  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Shareholders’ Equity

      

Common Stock - $1 Par Value; 371,980,460 Shares

   372    372     372    372  

Paid-In Surplus

   108    171     129    171  

Retained Earnings

   22,227    21,902     22,604    21,902  

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

   1,257    1,035     1,504    1,035  

Treasury Stock, at Cost - 127,494,420 and 123,673,969 Shares

   (7,738  (7,383

Treasury Stock, at Cost - 131,496,716 and 123,673,969 Shares

   (8,111  (7,383
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

   16,226    16,097 ��   16,498    16,097  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

TOTAL LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

  $  50,790   $  50,433    $  51,440   $  50,433  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.


 

Page 4

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

THREESIX MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31JUNE 30

(in millions)

 

  2014   2013   2014   2013 

Common Stock

        

Balance, Beginning and End of Period

  $372    $372  

Balance, Beginning of Year and End of Period

  $372    $372  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Paid-In-Surplus

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   171     178     171     178  

Changes Related to Stock-Based Employee Compensation (includes tax benefit of $14 and $27)

   (63   (73   (42   (52
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   108     105     129     126  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Retained Earnings

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   21,902     20,009       21,902     20,009  

Net Income

   449     656     948     1,235  

Dividends Declared (per share $.50 and $.44)

   (124   (115

Dividends Declared (per share $1.00 and $.88)

   (246   (229
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   22,227     20,550     22,604     21,015  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

        

Unrealized Appreciation of Investments Including Unrealized Other-Than-Temporary
Impairment Losses

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   1,225     2,013     1,225     2,013  

Change During Period, Net of Tax

   235     4     473     (696
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   1,460     2,017     1,698     1,317  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Postretirement Benefit Costs Not Yet Recognized in Net Income

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   (253   (717   (253   (717

Change During Period, Net of Tax

   6     17     11     31  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   (247   (700   (242   (686
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Foreign Currency Translation Gains

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   63     135     63     135  

Change During Period, Net of Tax

   (19   (50   (15   (22
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   44     85     48     113  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income, End of Period

   1,257     1,402     1,504     744  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Treasury Stock, at Cost

        

Balance, Beginning of Year

   (7,383   (6,163   (7,383   (6,163

Repurchase of Shares

   (409   (326   (784   (649

Shares Issued Under Stock-Based Employee Compensation Plans

   54     76     56     78  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Balance, End of Period

   (7,738   (6,413   (8,111   (6,734
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

TOTAL SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

  $  16,226    $  16,016    $  16,498    $  15,523  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.


 

Page 5

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

THREESIX MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31JUNE 30

(in millions)

 

  2014 2013   2014 2013 

Cash Flows from Operating Activities

      

Net Income

  $449   $656    $948   $1,235  

Adjustments to Reconcile Net Income to Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

      

Increase (Decrease) in Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses, Net

   51    (270   87    (299

Increase in Unearned Premiums, Net

   33    53     192    158  

Decrease in Premiums Receivable

   84    4  

Change in Income Tax Payable or Recoverable

   80    168  

Increase in Premiums Receivable

   (136  (130

Amortization of Premiums and Discounts on Fixed Maturities

   46    44     93    91  

Depreciation

   14    14     27    28  

Realized Investment Gains, Net

   (116  (138   (241  (317

Other, Net

   (269  (232   (192  (202
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

   372    299     778    564  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Cash Flows from Investing Activities

      

Proceeds from Fixed Maturities

      

Sales

   379    450     2,377    1,138  

Maturities, Calls and Redemptions

   957    943     2,067    2,353  

Proceeds from Sales of Equity Securities

   101    106     136    273  

Purchases of Fixed Maturities

         (1,810     (1,909         (4,884        (4,053

Purchases of Equity Securities

   (89  (36   (97  (92

Investments in Other Invested Assets, Net

   98    139     112    280  

Decrease in Short Term Investments, Net

   417    659     259    514  

Change in Receivable or Payable from Security Transactions Not Settled, Net

   105    (244   278    165  

Purchases of Property and Equipment, Net

   (10  (15   (26  (25

Other, Net

   (3       (3    
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Net Cash Provided by Investing Activities

   145    93     219    553  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Cash Flows from Financing Activities

      

Repayment of Long Term Debt

       (275

Decrease in Funds Held Under Deposit Contracts

   (1  (4   (1  (4

Proceeds from Issuance of Common Stock Under Stock-Based Employee Compensation Plans

   14    34     15    36  

Repurchase of Shares

   (415  (309   (774  (634

Dividends Paid to Shareholders

   (110  (108   (234  (223
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Net Cash Used in Financing Activities

   (512  (387   (994  (1,100
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Net Increase in Cash

   5   5    3   17 

Cash at Beginning of Year

   52    50     52    50  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

Cash at End of Period

  $57   $55    $55   $67  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

 

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.


 

Page 6

THE CHUBB CORPORATION

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

1) General

The accompanying condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and include the accounts of The Chubb Corporation (Chubb) and its subsidiaries (collectively, the Corporation). Significant intercompany transactions have been eliminated in consolidation.

The amounts included in this report are unaudited but include those adjustments, consisting of normal recurring items, that management considers necessary for a fair presentation. These condensed consolidated financial statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and related notes in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.

2) Invested Assets

(a) The amortized cost and fair value of fixed maturities and equity securities were as follows:

 

  March 31, 2014   June 30, 2014 
  Amortized
Cost
   Gross
Unrealized
Appreciation
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Gross
Unrealized
Appreciation
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

                

Tax exempt

  $ 17,923    $945    $84    $18,784    $18,168    $1,088    $36    $19,220  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Taxable

                

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

   776     32     3     805     1,245     43     2     1,286  

Corporate bonds

   9,465     402     47     9,820     8,809     405     20     9,194  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

   6,684     220     19     6,885     6,682     236     13     6,905  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

   251     23     1     273     229     22     1     250  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

   1,232     28     2     1,258     1,180     28     1     1,207  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   18,408     705     72     19,041     18,145     734     37     18,842  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total fixed maturities

  $36,331    $ 1,650    $ 156    $ 37,825    $ 36,313    $ 1,822    $   73    $   38,062  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Equity securities

  $1,111    $766    $14    $1,863    $1,106    $878    $15    $1,969  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 


 

Page 7

   December 31, 2013 
   Amortized
Cost
   Gross
Unrealized
Appreciation
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
 
   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

        

Tax exempt

  $ 17,808    $802    $189    $18,421  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Taxable

        

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

   784     27     9     802  

Corporate bonds

   9,032     370     88     9,314  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

   6,719     206     35     6,890  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

   277     23     1     299  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

   1,339     29     3     1,365  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   18,151     655     136     18,670  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total fixed maturities

  $35,959    $ 1,457    $ 325    $ 37,091  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Equity securities

  $1,057    $756    $3    $1,810  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

The fair value and amortized cost of fixed maturities at March 31,June 30, 2014 by contractual maturity were as follows:

 

  Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
   Fair
Value
   Amortized
Cost
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Due in one year or less

  $2,311    $2,284    $1,967    $1,946  

Due after one year through five years

   14,107     13,487     14,182     13,577  

Due after five years through ten years

   11,959     11,413     12,348     11,661  

Due after ten years

   7,917     7,664     8,108     7,720  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   36,294     34,848     36,605     34,904  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

   273     251     250     229  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

   1,258     1,232     1,207     1,180  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  $ 37,825    $ 36,331    $ 38,062    $ 36,313  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Actual maturities could differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations.

The Corporation’s equity securities comprise a diversified portfolio of primarily U.S. publicly-traded common stocks.

The Corporation is involved in the normal course of business with variable interest entities (VIEs) primarily as a passive investor in residential mortgage-backed securities, commercial mortgage-backed securities and private equity limited partnerships issued by third party VIEs. The Corporation is not the primary beneficiary of these VIEs. The Corporation’s maximum exposure to loss with respect to these investments is limited to the investment carrying values included in the Corporation’s consolidated balance sheet and any unfunded partnership commitments.


 

Page 8

(b) The components of unrealized appreciation or depreciation, including unrealized other-than-temporary impairment losses, of investments carried at fair value were as follows:

 

  March 31
2014
   December 31
2013
   June 30
2014
   December 31
2013
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

        

Gross unrealized appreciation

  $ 1,650    $ 1,457    $ 1,822    $ 1,457  

Gross unrealized depreciation

   156     325     73     325  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   1,494     1,132     1,749     1,132  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Equity securities

        

Gross unrealized appreciation

   766     756     878     756  

Gross unrealized depreciation

   14     3     15     3  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   752     753     863     753  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   2,246     1,885     2,612     1,885  

Deferred income tax liability

   786     660     914     660  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  $1,460    $1,225    $1,698    $1,225  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

The following table summarizes, for all investment securities in an unrealized loss position at March 31,June 30, 2014, the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized depreciation, including unrealized other-than-temporary impairment losses, by investment category and length of time that individual securities have continuously been in an unrealized loss position.

 

  Less Than 12 Months   12 Months or More   Total   Less Than 12 Months   12 Months or More   Total 
  Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

                        

Tax exempt

  $1,540    $32    $819    $52    $2,359    $84    $441    $5    $1,069    $31    $1,510    $36  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Taxable

                        

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

   128     1     36     2     164     3     510          36     2     546     2  

Corporate bonds

   1,534     29     462     18     1,996     47     502     2     1,097     18     1,599     20  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

   1,096     14     147     5     1,243     19     465     2     500     11     965     13  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

   3          9     1     12     1     2          6     1     8     1  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

   176     1     34     1     210     2     55          40     1     95     1  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
   2,937     45     688     27     3,625     72     1,534     4     1,679     33     3,213     37  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total fixed maturities

   4,477     77     1,507     79     5,984     156     1,975     9     2,748     64     4,723     73  

Equity securities

   102     14               102     14     62     15               62     15  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  $  4,579    $    91    $  1,507    $  79    $  6,086    $  170    $  2,037    $    24    $  2,748    $  64    $  4,785    $    88  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 


 

Page 9

At March 31,June 30, 2014, approximately 790570 individual fixed maturities and 2010 individual equity securities were in an unrealized loss position. The Corporation does not have the intent to sell and it is not more likely than not that the Corporation will be required to sell these fixed maturities before the securities recover to their amortized cost value. In addition, the Corporation believes that none of the declines in the fair values of these fixed maturities relate to credit losses. The Corporation has the intent and ability to hold the equity securities in an unrealized loss position for a period of time sufficient to allow for the recovery of cost. The Corporation believes that none of the declines in the fair value of these fixed maturities and equity securities were other than temporary at March 31,June 30, 2014.

The following table summarizes, for all investment securities in an unrealized loss position at December 31, 2013, the aggregate fair value and gross unrealized depreciation, including unrealized other-than-temporary impairment losses, by investment category and length of time that individual securities have continuously been in an unrealized loss position.

 

   Less Than 12 Months   12 Months or More   Total 
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
   Fair
Value
   Gross
Unrealized
Depreciation
 
   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

            

Tax exempt

  $3,417    $144    $307    $45    $3,724    $189  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Taxable

            

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

   213     6     35     3     248     9  

Corporate bonds

   2,526     76     222     12     2,748     88  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

   1,735     32     75     3     1,810     35  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

   4          14     1     18     1  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

   153     1     39     2     192     3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
   4,631     115     385     21     5,016     136  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total fixed maturities

   8,048     259     692     66     8,740     325  

Equity securities

   41     3               41     3  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
  $  8,089    $  262    $  692    $  66    $  8,781    $  328  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 


 

Page 10

The change in unrealized appreciation or depreciation of investments carried at fair value, including the change in unrealized other-than-temporary impairment losses, was as follows:

 

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30 
  March 31   Second Quarter Six Months 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Change in unrealized appreciation of fixed maturities

  $    362   $    (196  $255    $    (1,019 $617   $    (1,215

Change in unrealized appreciation of equity securities

   (1  202     111   (57  110    145  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   361    6     366    (1,076  727   (1,070

Deferred income tax

   126    2  

Deferred income tax (credit)

   128    (376  254    (374
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
  $235   $4    $    238   $(700 $    473   $(696
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

(c) Realized investment gains and losses were as follows:

 

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30 
  March 31   Second Quarter Six Months 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Fixed maturities

        

Gross realized gains

  $8   $13    $69   $14   $77   $27  

Gross realized losses

   (11  (2   (17  (8  (28  (10

Other-than-temporary impairment losses

   (4      (4    
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   (3  11     48    6    45    17  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Equity securities

        

Gross realized gains

   66    55     23    119    89    174  

Other-than-temporary impairment losses

       (2   (1  (5  (1  (7
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   66    53     22    114    88    167  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Other invested assets

   53    74     55    59    108    133  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
  $    116   $    138    $    125   $        179   $    241   $        317  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

(d) As of March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, fixed maturities still held by the Corporation for which a portion of their other-than-temporary impairment losses were recognized in other comprehensive income had cumulative credit-related losses of $19 million and $20 million, respectively, recognized in net income.


 

Page 11

3) Comprehensive Income

Comprehensive income is defined as all changes in shareholders’ equity, except those arising from transactions with shareholders. Comprehensive income includes net income and other comprehensive income or loss, which for the Corporation consists of changes in unrealized appreciation or depreciation of investments carried at fair value, changes in unrealized other-than-temporary impairment losses of fixed maturities, changes in postretirement benefit costs not yet recognized in net income and changes in foreign currency translation gains or losses.

The components of other comprehensive income or loss were as follows:

 

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30, 2014 
  March 31, 2014   Second Quarter Six Months 
  Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
   Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
 Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Net unrealized holding gains arising during the period

  $424   $148   $276    $436   $153   $283   $860   $301   $559  

Reclassification adjustment for net realized gains included in net income

   63    22    41     70    25    45    133    47    86  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net unrealized gains recognized in other comprehensive income

   361    126    235     366    128    238    727    254    473  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Reclassification adjustment for the amortization of net actuarial loss and prior service cost included in net income (a)

   (9  (3  (6   (8  (3  (5  (17  (6  (11
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net change in postretirement benefit costs not yet recognized in net income

   9    3    6     8    3    5    17    6    11  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Foreign currency translation losses

   (28  (9  (19

Foreign currency translation gains (losses)

   6    2    4    (22  (7  (15
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total other comprehensive income

  $  342   $  120   $  222    $  380   $  133   $  247   $  722   $  253   $  469  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

(a) Postretirement benefit costs recognized in net income during the period are included among several of the loss and expense components presented in the consolidated statements of income.


 

Page 12

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30, 2013 
  March 31, 2013   Second Quarter Six Months 
  Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
   Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
 Before
Tax
 Income
Tax
 Net of
Tax
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Net unrealized holding gains arising during the period

  $   70   $   24   $   46  

Net unrealized holding losses arising during the period

  $(956 $(334 $(622 $(886 $(310 $(576

Reclassification adjustment for net realized gains included in net income

   64    22    42     120    42    78    184    64    120  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net unrealized gains recognized in other comprehensive loss

   6    2    4  

Net unrealized losses recognized in other comprehensive loss

     (1,076    (376    (700    (1,070    (374    (696
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Postretirement benefit gain not yet recognized in net income arising during the period

   2    1    1  

Postretirement benefit gain (loss) not yet recognized in net income arising during the period

   (1  (1      1        1  

Reclassification adjustment for the amortization of net actuarial loss and prior service cost included in net income (a)

   (24  (8  (16   (23  (9  (14  (47  (17  (30
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Net change in postretirement benefit costs not yet recognized in net income

   26    9    17     22    8    14    48    17    31  
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Foreign currency translation losses

   (77  (27  (50

Foreign currency translation gains (losses)

   42    14    28    (35  (13  (22
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total other comprehensive loss

  $(45 $(16 $(29  $(1,012 $(354 $(658 $(1,057 $(370 $(687
  

 

  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

(a) Postretirement benefit costs recognized in net income during the period are included among several of the loss and expense components presented in the consolidated statements of income.

4) Segments Information

The principal business of the Corporation is the sale of property and casualty insurance. The profitability of the property and casualty insurance business depends on the results of both underwriting operations and investments, which are viewed as two distinct operations. The underwriting operations are managed and evaluated separately from the investment function.

The property and casualty insurance subsidiaries underwrite most lines of property and casualty insurance. Underwriting operations consist of four separate business units: personal insurance, commercial insurance, specialty insurance and reinsurance assumed. The personal segment targets the personal insurance market. The personal classes include automobile, homeowners and other personal coverages. The commercial segment includes those classes of business that are generally available in broad markets and are of a more commodity nature. Commercial classes include multiple peril, casualty, workers’ compensation and property and marine. The specialty segment includes those classes of business that are available in more limited markets since they require specialized underwriting and claim settlement. Specialty classes include professional liability coverages and surety. The reinsurance assumed business has been in runoff since the transfer of the ongoing reinsurance assumed business to a reinsurance company in 2005.

Corporate and other includes investment income earned on corporate invested assets, corporate expenses and the results of the Corporation’s non-insurance subsidiaries.


 

Page 13

Revenues and income before income tax of each operating segment were as follows:

 

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30 
  March 31   Second Quarter Six Months 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Revenues

        

Property and casualty insurance

        

Premiums earned

        

Personal insurance

  $    1,076   $    1,031    $    1,102   $    1,050   $    2,178   $    2,081  

Commercial insurance

   1,300    1,308     1,305    1,299    2,605    2,607  

Specialty insurance

   653    666     656    645    1,309    1,311  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total insurance

   3,029    3,005     3,063    2,994    6,092    5,999  

Reinsurance assumed

       (1   1    1    1      
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   3,029    3,004     3,064    2,995    6,093    5,999  

Investment income

   351    363     345    361    696    724  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total property and casualty insurance

   3,380    3,367     3,409    3,356    6,789    6,723  

Corporate and other

   10    12     8    16    18    28  

Realized investment gains, net

   116    138     125    179    241    317  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total revenues

  $3,506   $3,517    $3,542   $3,551   $7,048   $7,068  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Income (loss) before income tax

        

Property and casualty insurance

        

Underwriting

        

Personal insurance

  $2   $150    $45   $75   $47   $225  

Commercial insurance

   111    195     71    124    182    319  

Specialty insurance

   82    95     140    96    222    191  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total insurance

   195    440     256    295    451    735  

Reinsurance assumed

       4     1    6    1    10  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   195    444     257    301    452    745  

Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs

   13    41     21    16    34    57  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Underwriting income

   208    485     278    317    486    802  

Investment income

   341    351     336    349    677    700  

Other income (charges)

   (2  5     (2  9    (4  14  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total property and casualty insurance

   547    841     612    675    1,159    1,516  

Corporate and other

   (60  (63)   (59  (58  (119  (121

Realized investment gains, net

   116    138     125    179    241    317  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Total income before income tax

  $603   $916    $678   $796   $1,281   $1,712  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 


 

Page 14

5) Fair Values of Financial Instruments

Fair values of financial instruments are determined by management using valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. Fair values are generally measured using quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities or other inputs, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities, that are observable either directly or indirectly. In those instances where observable inputs are not available, fair values are measured using unobservable inputs for the asset or liability. Unobservable inputs reflect the Corporation’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability and are developed based on the best information available in the circumstances. Fair value estimates derived from unobservable inputs are affected by the assumptions used, including the discount rates and the estimated amounts and timing of future cash flows. The derived fair value estimates cannot be substantiated by comparison to independent markets and are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that would be realized in a current market exchange. Certain financial instruments, particularly insurance contracts, are excluded from fair value disclosure requirements.

The methods and assumptions used to estimate the fair values of financial instruments are as follows:

 

 (i)The carrying value of short term investments approximates fair value due to the short maturities of these investments.

 

 (ii)Fair values of fixed maturities are determined by management, utilizing prices obtained from a third party, nationally recognized pricing service or, in the case of securities for which prices are not provided by a pricing service, from third party brokers. For fixed maturities that have quoted prices in active markets, market quotations are provided. For fixed maturities that do not trade on a daily basis, the pricing service and brokers provide fair value estimates using a variety of inputs including, but not limited to, benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, bids, offers, reference data, prepayment rates and measures of volatility. Management reviews on an ongoing basis the reasonableness of the methodologies used by the relevant pricing service and brokers. In addition, management, using the prices received for the securities from the pricing service and brokers, determines the aggregate portfolio price performance and reviews it against applicable indices. If management believes that significant discrepancies exist, it will discuss these with the relevant pricing service or broker to resolve the discrepancies.

 

 (iii)Fair values of equity securities are determined by management, utilizing quoted market prices.

 

 (iv)Fair values of long term debt issued by Chubb are determined by management, utilizing prices obtained from a third party, nationally recognized pricing service.


 

Page 15

The carrying values and fair values of financial instruments were as follows:

 

  March 31, 2014   December 31, 2013   June 30, 2014   December 31, 2013 
  Carrying
Value
   Fair
Value
   Carrying
Value
   Fair
Value
   Carrying
Value
   Fair
Value
   Carrying
Value
   Fair
Value
 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Assets

                

Invested assets

                

Short term investments

  $1,693    $1,693    $2,114    $2,114    $1,845    $1,845    $2,114    $2,114  

Fixed maturities

     37,825       37,825       37,091       37,091       38,062       38,062       37,091       37,091  

Equity securities

   1,863     1,863     1,810     1,810     1,969     1,969     1,810     1,810  

Liabilities

                

Long term debt

   3,300     3,922     3,300     3,806     3,300     3,989     3,300     3,806  

At March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, a pricing service provided fair value amounts for approximately 99% of the Corporation’s fixed maturities. The prices obtained from a pricing service and brokers generally are non-binding, but are reflective of current market transactions in the applicable financial instruments.

At March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, the Corporation held an insignificant amount of financial instruments in its investment portfolio for which a lack of market liquidity impacted the determination of fair value.

The fair value hierarchy prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels as follows:

Level 1 – Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical financial instruments.

Level 2 – Other inputs that are observable for the financial instrument, either directly or indirectly.

Level 3 – Significant unobservable inputs.


 

Page 16

The fair value of financial instruments categorized based upon the lowest level of input that was significant to the fair value measurement was as follows:

 

  March 31, 2014   June 30, 2014 
  Level 1   Level 2   Level 3   Total   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3   Total 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Assets

                

Short term investments

  $256    $1,437    $    $1,693    $284    $1,561    $    $1,845  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Fixed maturities

                

Tax exempt

        18,780     4     18,784          19,216     4     19,220  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Taxable

                

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

        805          805          1,286          1,286  

Corporate bonds

        9,690     130     9,820          9,066     128     9,194  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

        6,871     14     6,885          6,896     9     6,905  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

        268     5     273          246     4     250  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

        1,258          1,258          1,196     11     1,207  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
        18,892     149     19,041          18,690     152     18,842  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total fixed maturities

        37,672     153     37,825          37,906     156     38,062  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Equity securities

   1,857          6     1,863     1,963          6     1,969  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  $    2,113    $  39,109    $        159    $  41,381    $    2,247    $  39,467    $        162    $  41,876  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Liabilities

                

Long term debt

  $    $3,922    $    $3,922    $    $3,989    $    $3,989  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 


 

Page 17

  December 31, 2013   December 31, 2013 
  Level 1   Level 2   Level 3   Total   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3   Total 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Assets

                

Short term investments

  $399    $1,715    $    $2,114    $399    $1,715    $    $2,114  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Fixed maturities

                

Tax exempt

        18,416     5     18,421          18,416     5     18,421  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Taxable

                

U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations

        802          802          802          802  

Corporate bonds

        9,179     135     9,314          9,179     135     9,314  

Foreign government and government agency obligations

        6,881     9     6,890          6,881     9     6,890  

Residential mortgage-backed securities

        293     6     299          293     6     299  

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

        1,345     20     1,365          1,345     20     1,365  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
        18,500     170     18,670          18,500     170     18,670  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total fixed maturities

        36,916     175     37,091          36,916     175     37,091  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Equity securities

   1,803          7     1,810     1,803          7     1,810  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  $    2,202    $  38,631    $        182    $  41,015    $    2,202    $  38,631    $        182    $  41,015  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Liabilities

                

Long term debt

  $    $3,806    $    $3,806    $    $3,806    $    $3,806  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 


 

Page 18

6) Earnings Per Share

The following table sets forth the computation of basic and diluted earnings per share:

 

  Three Months Ended   Periods Ended June 30 
  March 31   Second Quarter   Six Months 
  2014   2013   2014   2013   2014   2013 
  

(in millions, except for

per share amounts)

   

(in millions, except for

per share amounts)

 

Basic earnings per share:

            

Net income

  $449    $656    $499    $579    $948    $1,235  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding

   248.6     263.3     245.7     260.5     247.1     261.9  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Basic earnings per share

  $1.81    $2.49    $2.03    $2.22    $3.84    $4.72  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Diluted earnings per share:

            

Net income

  $449    $656    $499    $579    $948    $1,235  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding

   248.6    263.3     245.7     260.5     247.1     261.9  

Additional shares from assumed issuance of shares under stock-based compensation awards

   .6     1.5     .5     1.0     .6     1.3  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Weighted average shares and potential shares assumed outstanding for computing diluted earnings per share

   249.2     264.8     246.2     261.5     247.7     263.2  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Diluted earnings per share

  $1.80    $2.48    $2.03    $2.21    $3.83    $4.69  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 


 

Page 19

Item 2 — Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations addresses the financial condition of the Corporation as of March 31,June 30, 2014 compared with December 31, 2013 and the results of operations for the quarterssix months and three months ended March 31,June 30, 2014 and 2013. This discussion should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes contained in this report and the consolidated financial statements and related notes and management’s discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations included in the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

Certain statements in this document are “forward-looking statements” as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (PSLRA). These forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the PSLRA and include statements regarding market conditions in 2014, including premium volume, rate trends, the pricing environment and competition; the cost of our property reinsurance program in 2014; our loss reserve and reinsurance recoverable estimates; property and casualty investment income after taxes for the full year 2014; the repurchase of common stock under our share repurchase program; and our financial position, capital adequacy and funding of liquidity needs. Forward-looking statements frequently can be identified by words such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “will,” “may,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “likely,” “estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” “continue,” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements are made based upon management’s current expectations and beliefs concerning trends and future developments and their potential effects on us. These statements are not guarantees of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties, which include, among others, those discussed or identified in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 and from time to time in our other public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and those associated with:

 

global political, economic and market conditions, particularly in the jurisdictions in which we operate and/or invest, including:

 

 changes in credit ratings, interest rates, market credit spreads and the performance of the financial markets;

 

 currency fluctuations;

 

 the effects of inflation;

 

 changes in domestic and foreign laws, regulations and taxes;

 

 changes in competition and pricing environments;

 

 regional or general changes in asset valuations;

 

 the inability to reinsure certain risks economically; and

 

 changes in the litigation environment;

 

the effects of the outbreak or escalation of war or hostilities;

 

the occurrence of terrorist attacks, including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events;


 

Page 20

premium pricing and profitability or growth estimates overall or by lines of business or geographic area, and related expectations with respect to the timing and terms of any required regulatory approvals;

 

adverse changes in loss cost trends;

 

our ability to retain existing business and attract new business at acceptable rates;

 

our expectations with respect to cash flow and investment income and with respect to other income;

 

the adequacy of our loss reserves, including:

 

 our expectations relating to reinsurance recoverables;

 

 the willingness of parties, including us, to settle disputes;

 

 developments in judicial decisions or regulatory or legislative actions relating to coverage and liability, in particular, for asbestos, toxic waste and other mass tort claims;

 

 development of new theories of liability;

 

 our estimates relating to ultimate asbestos liabilities; and

 

 the impact from the bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos producers and other related businesses;

 

the availability and cost of reinsurance coverage;

 

the occurrence of significant weather-related or other natural or human-made disasters, particularly in locations where we have concentrations of risk or changes to our estimates (or the assessments of rating agencies and other third parties) of our potential exposure to such events;

 

the impact of economic factors on companies on whose behalf we have issued surety bonds, and in particular, on those companies that file for bankruptcy or otherwise experience deterioration in creditworthiness;

 

the effects of disclosures by, and investigations of, companies we insure, particularly with respect to our lines of business that have a longer time span, or tail, between the incidence of a loss and the settlement of the claim;

 

the impact of legislative, regulatory, judicial and similar developments on companies we insure, particularly with respect to our longer tail lines of business;

 

the impact of legislative, regulatory, judicial and similar developments on our business, including those relating to insurance industry reform, terrorism, catastrophes, the financial markets, solvency standards, capital requirements, accounting guidance and taxation;

 

any downgrade in our claims-paying, financial strength or other credit ratings;


 

Page 21

the ability of our subsidiaries to pay us dividends;

 

our plans to repurchase shares of our common stock, including as a result of changes in:

 

 our financial position and financial results;

 

 our capital position and/or capital adequacy levels required to maintain our existing ratings from independent rating agencies;

 

 our share price;

 

 investment opportunities;

 

 opportunities to profitably grow our property and casualty insurance business; and

 

 corporate and regulatory requirements; and

 

our ability to implement management’s strategic plans and initiatives.

Chubb assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information set forth in this document, which speak as of the date hereof.

Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments

The consolidated financial statements include amounts based on informed estimates and judgments of management for transactions that are not yet complete. Such estimates and judgments affect the reported amounts in the financial statements. Those estimates and judgments that were most critical to the preparation of the financial statements involved the determination of loss reserves and the recoverability of related reinsurance recoverables and the evaluation of whether a decline in value of any investment is temporary or other than temporary. These estimates and judgments, which are discussed in Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 as supplemented within the following analysis of our results of operations, require the use of assumptions about matters that are highly uncertain and therefore are subject to change as facts and circumstances develop. If different estimates and judgments had been applied, materially different amounts might have been reported in the financial statements.


 

Page 22

Overview

The following highlights do not address all of the matters covered in the other sections of Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations or contain all of the information that may be important to Chubb’s shareholders or the investing public. This overview should be read in conjunction with the other sections of Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

 

Net income was $449$948 million in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with $656and $499 million in the second quarter compared with $1.2 billion and $579 million, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. Net income was lower in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013 due to lower operating income and, to a lesser extent, lower net realized investment gains. We define operating income as net income excluding realized investment gains and losses after tax.

 

Operating income was $374$792 million in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with $566and $418 million in the second quarter compared with $1.0 billion and $463 million, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. The lower operating income in the first quarter of 2014 periods was due primarily to substantially lower underwriting income in our property and casualty insurance business, particularly in the first six months and, to a lesser extent, lowera decrease in property and casualty investment income. Management uses operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, among other measures, to evaluate its performance because the realization of investment gains and losses in any period could be discretionary as to timing and can fluctuate significantly, which could distort the analysis of operating trends.

 

Underwriting results were profitable in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with highly profitable results in the same period of 2013. Underwriting results were highly profitable in the second quarter of both years. Our combined loss and expense ratio was 93.2%91.6% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 90.0% in the second quarter compared with 84.6%86.7% and 88.8% in the same periodrespective periods of 2013. Results were less profitable in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared withto the same period of 2013 due primarily to a higher impact ofcurrent accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a higher current accident year loss ratio excludingimpact of catastrophes and a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development. Results were less profitable in the second quarter of 2014 compared to the same period of 2013 due primarily to a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development, offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes. The impact of catastrophes accounted for 6.65.7 percentage points of the combined ratio in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 4.8 percentage points in the second quarter compared with 0.6 of a4.3 and 7.9 percentage pointpoints, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013.

 

During the first six months and second quarter of 2014, we estimate that we experienced overall favorable prior year loss development of about $160$325 million and $165 million, respectively, on loss reserves established as of the previous year end. We estimate that during the first six months and second quarter of 2013, we experienced overall favorable prior year loss development of about $190 million.$405 million and $215 million, respectively. In the first quarter of both yearseach period we experienced significant favorable prior year loss development in each segment of our commercial insurance segment and in the professional liability classes within our specialty insurance segment.business.


 

Page 23

Total net premiums written were flatincreased by 2% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 4% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written in the United States increased by 3%4% in the first quartersix months of 2014.2014 and 5% in the second quarter. Net premiums written outside the United States decreased by 6%3% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and increased by 1% in the second quarter in U.S. dollars and by a modestly lower amount whendollars. When measured in local currencies.currencies, such premiums were flat in the first six months of 2014 and increased modestly in the second quarter.

 

Property and casualty investment income after tax decreased by 4% in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013, due to a decline in the average yield on our investment portfolio. Management uses property and casualty investment income after tax, a non-GAAP financial measure, to evaluate its investment results because it reflects the impact of any change in the proportion of tax exempt investment income to total investment income and is therefore more meaningful for analysis purposes than investment income before income tax.

 

Net realized investment gains before tax were $116$241 million ($75156 million after tax) in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with $138and $125 million ($9081 million after tax) in the second quarter compared with $317 million ($206 million after tax) and $179 million ($116 million after tax), respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. The net realized gains in the first quartersix months of both years2014 were primarily related to investments in limited partnerships, which generally are reported on a one quarter lag, sales of equity securities and, to a lesser extent, sales of fixed maturity securities. The net realized gains in the second quarter of 2014 were primarily related to investments in limited partnerships, sales of fixed maturity securities and, to a lesser extent, sales of equity securities. In the first six months and second quarter of 2013, net realized investment gains included the recognition of a gain in connection with the business combination of an issuer in which we held equity securities and warrants. The remaining net realized gains in the 2013 periods were primarily related to investments in limited partnerships and sales of equity securities.

A summary of our consolidated net income is as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Property and casualty insurance

  $ 547   $ 841    $ 1,159   $ 1,516   $ 612   $ 675  

Corporate and other

   (60  (63   (119  (121  (59  (58
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Consolidated operating income before income tax

   487    778     1,040    1,395    553   617 

Federal and foreign income tax

   113    212     248    366    135    154  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Consolidated operating income

   374    566     792   1,029   418    463  

Realized investment gains after income tax

   75    90     156    206    81    116  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Consolidated net income

  $449   $656    $948   $1,235   $499   $579  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 


 

Page 24

Property and Casualty Insurance

A summary of the results of operations of our property and casualty insurance business is as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions)   (in millions) 

Underwriting

        

Net premiums written

  $3,062   $3,057    $6,285   $6,157   $3,223   $3,100  

Increase in unearned premiums

   (33  (53   (192  (158  (159  (105
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Premiums earned

   3,029    3,004     6,093    5,999    3,064    2,995  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Losses and loss expenses

   1,845    1,568     3,637    3,262    1,792    1,694  

Operating costs and expenses

   979    983     1,983    1,974    1,004    991  

Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs

   (13  (41   (34  (57  (21  (16

Dividends to policyholders

   10    9     21    18    11    9  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Underwriting income

   208    485     486    802    278    317  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Investments

        

Investment income before expenses

   351    363     696    724    345    361  

Investment expenses

   10    12     19    24    9    12  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Investment income

   341    351     677    700    336    349  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Other income (charges)

   (2  5     (4  14    (2  9  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Property and casualty income before tax

  $547   $841    $1,159   $1,516   $612   $675  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Property and casualty investment income after tax

  $277   $288    $552   $574   $275   $286  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Property and casualty income before tax was lower in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013,2013. The lower income in the 2014 periods was due to substantially lower underwriting income, particularly in the first six months and, to a lesser extent, a decrease in investment income. The decrease in underwriting income in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 was primarily attributable to a higher impact ofcurrent accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a higher current accident year loss ratio excludingimpact of catastrophes and a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development. The decrease in investmentunderwriting income in the firstsecond quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 was due primarily to a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development, offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes. The decrease in investment income in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periods of 2013 was due to a decline in the average yield on our investment portfolio.


Page 25

The profitability of our property and casualty insurance business depends on the results of both our underwriting and investment operations. We view these as two distinct operations since the underwriting functions are managed separately from the investment function. Accordingly, in assessing our performance, we evaluate underwriting results separately from investment results.


Page 25

Underwriting Results

We evaluate the underwriting results of our property and casualty insurance business in the aggregate and for each of our business units.

Net Premiums Written

Net premiums written were $3.1$6.3 billion in the first quartersix months of both 2014 and $3.2 billion in the second quarter compared with $6.2 billion and $3.1 billion, respectively, in the same periods of 2013. Net premiums written by business unit were as follows:

 

  Quarter Ended March 31 % Increase   Six Months Ended June 30   Quarter Ended June 30     
  2014   2013 (Decrease)   2014   2013 % Incr. 2014   2013   % Incr. 
  (in millions)     (in millions)   (in millions)     

Personal insurance

  $1,013    $987    3  $2,222    $2,141    4 $1,209    $1,154     5

Commercial insurance

   1,425     1,440    (1   2,783     2,759    1    1,358     1,319     3  

Specialty insurance

   624     632    (1   1,279     1,258    2    655     626     5  
  

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

Total insurance

   3,062     3,059         6,284     6,158    2    3,222     3,099     4  

Reinsurance assumed

        (2  *     1     (1  *    1     1     *  
  

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

Total

  $3,062    $3,057        $6,285    $6,157    2   $3,223    $3,100     4  
  

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

*The change in net premiums written is not presented for this business unit since it is in runoff.

Net premiums written were flatincreased by 2% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 4% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written in the United States, which represented 72%75% of our total net premiums written in the first quartersix months of 2014, increased by 3%.4% in the first six months of 2014 and 5% in the second quarter. Net premiums written outside the United States decreased by 6%3% in the first six months of 2014 and increased by 1% in the second quarter in U.S. dollars and by a modestly lower amount whendollars. When measured in local currencies.currencies, such premiums were flat in the first six months of 2014 and increased modestly in the second quarter.

We classify business as written in the United States or outside the United States based on the location of the risk associated with the underlying policies. The method of determining location of risk varies by class of business. Location of risk for property classes is typically based on the physical location of the covered property, while location of risk for liability classes may be based on the main location of the insured, or in the case of the workers’ compensation class, the primary work location of the covered employee.


Page 26

Growth in net premiums written in the United States in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 was driven byoccurred in each segment of our business, with the most significant growth occurring in our personal insurance segment. Net premiums written in the United States increased modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 in our commercial and specialty insurance segment and were flat in our commercial insurance segment.segments. Growth in our personal insurance business in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 was attributable to higher rates andupon renewal, higher insured exposures, upon renewal, new business as well as strong retention of existing business, and new business. In the first six months and second quarter of 2014, net premiums written ofin our commercial insurance segment and our professional liability business, which is the predominant component of our specialty insurance segment, reflected higher rates, higher retention levels and continued strong retention. Growthan increase in these businesses, however, remained constrained by our underwriting actions and judicious approach to new business incompared with the competitive market.


Page 26same periods of 2013.

Average renewal rates for our personal insurance business in the United States were up modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014, driven particularly by our homeowners and excess liability classes of business. Retention levels in our personal insurance business in the United States remained strong in the first six months and second quarter of 2014. Average renewal rates in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 in the United States were up in both our commercial insurance and professional liability businesses, but more so in our professional liability business. The amounts of coverage purchased or the insured exposures, both of which are bases upon which we calculate the premiums we charge, were down slightly in our commercial insurance and professional liability businesses in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods in 2013. We continued to retain a high percentage of our existing commercial insurance and professional liability business in the United States. Renewal retention levels in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 were slightlymodestly higher in our commercial insurance business and modestly higher in our professional liability businessbusinesses compared with those in the same periodperiods of 2013. As part of our ongoing catastrophe management activities, during the first quarter of 2014 we reduced our participation in some commercial accounts to better manage exposure aggregations. During the first quarter of 2014, weWe continued to seek renewal rate increases in most of the classes within the commercial insurance and professional liability businesses and to take underwriting actions to improve profitability. As components of our business have approached rate adequacy due to pricing and underwriting actions over the last several years, during the first quarterlevel of 2014renewal rate increases has moderated and we soughthave achieved higher retention levels at more moderate rate increases, particularly in our commercial insurance business.levels. The overall level of new business in the United States was higher in both our commercial businessinsurance and our professional liability businessbusinesses in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013.

Outside the United States, net premiums written decreased in each segment of our business in the first quartersix months of 2014.2014 compared with the same period of 2013. The most significant decrease occurred in our personal insurance segment. Excludingsegment driven by the effect of foreign currency translation,translation. In the declinesecond quarter of 2014, increases in net premiums written outside the United States in our commercial and specialty insurance segments were partially offset by a decrease in our personal insurance segment. Net premiums written outside the United States excluding the effect of foreign currency translation were flat in each segment of our business in the first six months of 2014. Such premiums grew in the second quarter of 2014 in each segment of our business, was modest.but less so in the personal insurance segment.


Page 27

Net premiums written in our personal insurance business outside the United States in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 reflected a modest increase in the overall average renewal rate compared with that in the same period of 2013, but includedincrease, driven by a more significant increase in our automobile business. Average renewal rates outside the United States were up slightly in both our commercial insurance business and our professional liability businessbusinesses in the first six months and second quarter of 2014. Retention levels for our commercial insurance and professional liability business written outside the United States were about the same for our commercial insurance and professional liability businesses in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. For both our commercial insurance business, the level of new business written outside the United States was flat in the first six months of 2014 and modestly higher in the second quarter compared with the same periods of 2013. For our professional liability businesses,business, the level of new business written outside the United States was modestly lowerhigher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013.

We expect our net premiums written for the full year 2014 will increase at a rate similar to or slightly higher than the rate in the first half of the year, with an insignificant impact from foreign currency translation, assuming average foreign currency to U.S. dollar exchange rates for the remainder of the year remain similar to June 30, 2014 levels. We expect that market conditions will remain competitive but that the positive pricing environment, particularly in the United States, will continue during the remainder of 2014. However, we expect that the average renewal rate increases achieved in some of our commercial and professional liability classes of business may be at levels below those achieved in recent years, as a greater portion of this business approaches or attains rate adequacy.


Page 27years.

Ceded Reinsurance

Our premiums written are net of amounts ceded to reinsurers who assume a portion of the risk under the insurance policies we write that are subject to reinsurance.

The most significant component of our ceded reinsurance program is property reinsurance. We purchase two main types of property reinsurance: catastrophe and property per risk.

For property risks in the United States and Canada we purchase traditional catastrophe reinsurance, including our primary treaty, which we refer to as our North American catastrophe treaty, as well as supplemental catastrophe reinsurance that provides additional coverage for our exposures in the northeast United States. For certain exposures in the United States, we have also arranged for the purchase of multi–year, collateralized reinsurance funded through the issuance of collateralized risk-linked securities, known as catastrophe bonds. For events outside the United States, we also purchase traditional catastrophe reinsurance.


Page 28

We renewed our primary traditional property catastrophe treaties and our commercial property per risk treaty in April 2014 with limit structures similar to the expiring treaties and some modest enhancements totreaties. Certain coverage provided under the North American catastrophe treaty.treaty was modestly enhanced. The supplemental catastrophe reinsurance that provides coverage for our exposures in the northeast United States remainswas renewed in effect until June 2014.2014 on terms similar to the expiring coverage. In March 2014, we arranged for the purchase of reinsurance through the issuance of a catastrophe bond to replace the portion of a catastrophe bond that expired in March 2014. The three catastrophe bond arrangements currently in place expire between 2015 and 2018.

The North American catastrophe treaty has an initial retention of $500 million and provides coverage for exposures in the United States and Canada of approximately 34% of losses (net of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $500 million and $900 million and approximately 75% of losses (net of recoveries) between $900 million and $1.75 billion. For certain catastrophic events in the northeast United States or along the southern U.S. coastline, the combination of the North American catastrophe treaty, supplemental catastrophe reinsurance and/or the catastrophe bond arrangements provide additional coverages as discussed below.

The catastrophe bond arrangements provide reinsurance coverage for specific types of losses in specific geographic locations. They are generally designed to supplement coverage provided under the North American catastrophe treaty. We currently have three catastrophe bond arrangements in effect.effect that expire between 2015 and 2018. We have a $250 million reinsurance arrangement that expires in March 2015 and a $270 million reinsurance arrangement that incepted in March 2014 and expires in March 2018. Both of these catastrophe bond arrangements provide coverage for our exposure to homeowners and commercial losses related to certain perils, including hurricanes, earthquakes, severe thunderstorms and winter storms in twelve states in the northeast United States and the District of Columbia. The $270 million reinsurance arrangement also provides similar coverage for named storms in addition to hurricanes. We also have a $150 million reinsurance arrangement that expires in March 2016 that provides coverage for homeowners-related hurricane and severe thunderstorm losses in eight states along the southern U.S. coastline.


Page 28

For the indicated catastrophic events in the northeast United States, the combination of the North American catastrophe treaty, the supplemental catastrophe reinsurance, and the $250 million and $270 million catastrophe bond arrangements provides additional coverage of approximately 63% of losses (net of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $1.75 billion and $3.65 billion.

For hurricane and severe thunderstorm events along the southern U.S. coastline, the $150 million catastrophe bond arrangement provides additional coverage of approximately 50% of homeowners-related hurricane and severe thunderstorm losses (net of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $855 million and $1.15 billion.


Page 29

For hurricane events in Florida, in addition to the coverage provided by the North American catastrophe treaty and the $150 million catastrophe bond arrangement discussed above, we have reinsurance from the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund, which is a state-mandated fund designed to reimburse insurers for a portion of their residential catastrophic hurricane losses. Our participation in this program, for which the most recent annual period began on June 1, 2013,2014, provides coverage of 90% of homeowners-related hurricane losses in Florida in excess of our initial retention of $160 million per event. Under the terms of the program, our aggregate recoveries during the annual coverage period are limited to approximately $395$385 million, based on our current level of participation.

Our primary property catastrophe treaty for events outside the United States, including Canada, provides coverage of approximately 75% of losses (net of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $100 million and $350 million. For catastrophic events in Australia and Canada, additional reinsurance provides coverage of 80% of losses (net of recoveries from other available reinsurance) between $350 million and $475 million.

Our commercial property per risk treaty provides coverage for property exposures both inside and outside the United States. Depending upon the currency in which the covered insurance policy was issued, the treaty provides coverage per risk of approximately $550$565 million to $850$830 million in excess of our initial retention, which is generally between $25 million and $35 million.

In addition to our major property catastrophe and property per risk treaties, we purchase several smaller property treaties that provide coverage for specific classes of business or locations having concentrations of risk.

Recoveries under our property reinsurance treaties are subject to certain coinsurance requirements that affect the interaction of some elements of our reinsurance program.

Our property reinsurance treaties generally contain terrorism exclusions for acts perpetrated by foreign terrorists, and for nuclear, biological, chemical and radiological loss causes whether such acts are perpetrated by foreign or domestic terrorists.


Page 29

The renewal rates associated with the North American catastrophe treaty, the catastrophe treaty that covers events outside the United States, and the commercial property per risk treaty and the supplemental catastrophe reinsurance were lower than the rates for the expiring treaties. The costs related to the reinsurance purchased through the issuance of the catastrophe bond in March 2014 were also lower than those related to the expiring bond. We therefore expect that the overall cost of our property reinsurance program will be lower in 2014 than in 2013.


Page 30

Profitability

The combined loss and expense ratio (or combined ratio), expressed as a percentage, is the key measure of underwriting profitability traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance business. Management evaluates the performance of our underwriting operations and of each of our business units using, among other measures, the combined loss and expense ratio calculated in accordance with U.S. statutory accounting principles. It is the sum of the ratio of losses and loss expenses to premiums earned (loss ratio) and the ratio of statutory underwriting expenses to premiums written (expense ratio) after reducing both premium amounts by dividends to policyholders. When the combined ratio is under 100%, underwriting results are generally considered profitable; when the combined ratio is over 100%, underwriting results are generally considered unprofitable.

Statutory accounting principles applicable to U.S. property and casualty insurance companies differ in certain respects from generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). Under statutory accounting principles, policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses are recognized immediately, not at the time premiums are earned. Management uses underwriting results determined in accordance with GAAP, among other measures, to assess the overall performance of our underwriting operations. To convert statutory underwriting results to a GAAP basis, certain policy acquisition expenses are deferred and amortized over the period in which the related premiums are earned. Underwriting income determined in accordance with GAAP is defined as premiums earned less losses and loss expenses incurred and GAAP underwriting expenses incurred.

An accident year is the calendar year in which a loss is incurredoccurs or, in the case of claims-made policies, the calendar year in which a loss is reported. The total losses and loss expenses incurred for a particular calendar year include current accident year losses and loss expenses as well as any increases or decreases to our estimates of losses and loss expenses that occurred in all prior accident years, which we refer to as prior year loss development.

Underwriting results were profitable in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with highly profitable results in the same period of 2013. Underwriting results were highly profitable in the second quarter of both years. The combined loss and expense ratio for our overall property and casualty business was as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 

Loss ratio

   61.1  52.3   59.9  54.5  58.7  56.7

Expense ratio

   32.1    32.3     31.7    32.2    31.3    32.1  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Combined loss and expense ratio

   93.2  84.6

Combined ratio

   91.6  86.7  90.0  88.8
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 


 

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The loss ratio was significantly higher in the first six months of 2014 and modestly higher in the second quarter compared with the same periods of 2013. The higher loss ratio in the first six months of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 was due primarily to a higher impact ofcurrent accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a higher current accident year loss ratio excludingimpact of catastrophes and a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development. The higher loss ratio in the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period in 2013 was due primarily to a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and, to a lesser extent, a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development, offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes. In our personal insurance segment, the current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes was significantly higher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013 in both our personal and specialty insurance segments.2013. The higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes in our personal insurance segment was driven by a significantan increase in both non-catastrophe weather-relatedfire losses and firenon-catastrophe weather-related losses in our homeowners business compared with the first quarter of 2013. The current accident year loss ratio of our specialty insurance segment deteriorated in the first quarter of 2014 compared to the same period in 2013 due to the adverse impact of a single, substantial surety loss.periods. The current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes for our commercial insurance segment was slightly lowerhigher in the first six months of 2014 and modestly higher in the second quarter compared with the same periods of 2013. The higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes of our commercial insurance segment in the second quarter of 2014 compared withto the same period of 2013.2013 was driven by an increase in large fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses primarily in our property and marine business. The overallcurrent accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophesof our specialty insurance segment was similar in the first six months of 2014 and 2013, and was modestly lower in the second quarter of both years reflected favorable2014 compared to the same period in 2013. The ratio in the first six months of 2014 was adversely impacted by a single, substantial surety loss experience that we believe resulted from our disciplined underwriting in recent years as well as the positive impact on premiums earned of rate increases in most classes of business.first quarter.

Our underwriting profitability in any given period will be affected by the impact of catastrophes in that period. We define a catastrophe as an event that is estimated to cause $25 million or more in industry-wide insured property losses and affects a significant number of policyholders and insurers.

The net impact of catastrophes in the first quartersix months of 2014 was $199$345 million, which represented 6.65.7 percentage points of the combined ratio, compared with $18$255 million or 0.64.3 percentage points in the same period of a2013. The net impact of catastrophes in the second quarter of 2014 was $146 million, which represented 4.8 percentage pointpoints of the combined ratio, compared with $237 million or 7.9 percentage points in the same period of 2013. A significant portion of the catastrophe losses in the first quartersix months of 2014 related to weather-related events in the severe winter weather,United States, including a severe winter freeze event in Januarythe first quarter which affected a widespread area of the United States. A significant portion of the catastrophe losses in the first six months of 2013 related to several severe storms in the central United States, as well as flooding in southern Alberta, Canada, primarily in the second quarter.


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The individually significant events that contributed to catastrophe costs, including losses and resulted in approximately $140 million in incurred losses. any related reinsurance reinstatement premiums, during the first six months of 2014 and 2013 were as follows:

   (in millions) 

2014

  

Winter freeze – 17 states in the United States – January 2014

  $130  

Other events

   215  
  

 

 

 

Total

  $345  
  

 

 

 

2013

  

Flooding – Alberta, Canada – June 2013

  $85  

Other events

   170  
  

 

 

 

Total

  $255  
  

 

 

 

The net impact of catastrophes in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013 reflected $7$8 million and $3$1 million, respectively, of favorable prior year loss development. Our overall estimateThis compares to favorable prior year loss development of net losses related to the Storm Sandy event$6 million and $3 million, respectively, in 2012 has not changed significantly, although during the first quarter of 2013 the estimate related to our commercial insurance business decreased slightly and the estimate related to our personal insurance business increased by the same amount.periods of 2013.

The expense ratio was slightly lower in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. The lower ratio in the first quarter of 2014 periods was due primarily to a slight decrease in overhead expenses and an increase in net premiums written, offset in part by a slight increase in commissions.


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Review of Underwriting Results by Business Unit

Personal Insurance

Net premiums written from personal insurance, which represented 33%36% of our premiums written in the first quartersix months of 2014, increased by 3%4% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 5% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written for the classes of business within the personal insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Quarter Ended March 31   % Increase   Six Months Ended June 30   % Incr. Quarter Ended June 30     
  2014   2013   (Decrease)   2014   2013   (Decr.) 2014   2013   % Incr. 
  (in millions)       (in millions)     (in millions)     

Automobile

  $173    $176     (2)%   $368    $371     (1)%  $195    $195     

Homeowners

   592     570     4     1,358     1,304     4    766     734     4  

Other

   248     241     3     496     466     6    248     225     10  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

Total personal

  $1,013    $987     3    $2,222    $2,141     4   $1,209    $1,154     5  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   


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The increase in net premiums written in our personal insurance business in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 was driven by growth inside the United States. Premium growth occurred in all classes of our personal insurance business in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 inside the United States. Net premiums written outside the United States decreased in the first six months and second quarter of 2014, due in part to the negative impact of foreign currency translation. The overall growth in our personal insurance business was attributable to higher rates andupon renewal, higher insured exposures, upon renewal, new business, as well as strong retention of existing business, and new business. Net premiums written for our personal automobile business decreased modestlyslightly in the first quartersix months of 2014 and were flat in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013, as growth in the United States was more than offset by a decline in premiums written outside the United States. The decrease in net premiums written outside the United States was due in large part to the negative impact of foreign currency translation as well as targeted rate initiatives.translation. Personal automobile premiums written outside the United States represent about 40% of our annual worldwide personal automobile business, annually, with more than half written in Brazil. Premiums in our homeowners business increased modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013, driven by growth in the United States, reflecting higher renewal rates, and increases in the values insured on existing policies.policies, as well as strong retention. Homeowners premiums outside the United States decreased in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013, due to the negative impact of foreign currency translation. Premiums from our other personal business, which includes accident and health, excess liability and yacht coverages, increased modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Significant2013, driven by significant growth ininside the United States. Premiums from our other personal business inside the United States was largely offset by a decline in premiums written outside the United States duedecreased in part tothe first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periods of 2013. The decrease in both periods reflected the negative impact of foreign currency translation. Premiums from our accident and health business increased slightly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014, as2014. The increase was more significant growth in this businessthe second quarter, driven by growth inside the United States was offset in large part by a decline inStates. Accident and health premiums written outside the United States.States decreased in the first six months and second quarter of 2014. Premiums for our excess liability business, most of which is written in the United States, grew significantly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014.


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Our personal insurance business produced slightly unprofitableprofitable underwriting results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with highly profitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. The combined loss and expense ratios for the classes of business within the personal insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 

Automobile

   101.4  94.0   98.5  94.7  95.6  95.3

Homeowners

   104.9    82.5     98.3    84.5    92.2    86.9  

Other

   92.4    94.0     92.8    93.6    93.1    93.3  

Total personal

   101.8    87.0     97.2    88.2    92.7    89.6  


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The deterioration in the underwriting results for our personal insurance business in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 was driven mainly by less profitable results in our homeowners business, due to a higher impact of catastrophes as well asfire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses, and to a lesser extent, a higher impact of catastrophes. The less profitable results for our personal insurance business in the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 were also driven by less profitable results in our homeowners business, mainly due to a higher impact of fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses, and fire losses.offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes. The impact of catastrophes represented 11.29.3 percentage points of the combined ratio for our personal insurance business in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with 3.9and 7.5 percentage points in the second quarter compared with 8.3 and 12.7 percentage points, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. Of the 3.9 percentage points impact of catastrophes in the first quarter of 2013, 2.6 percentage points related to an increase in estimated losses from Storm Sandy.

Our personal automobile business produced slightly unprofitableprofitable results in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared withand 2013, but more so in the 2013 period. The more profitable results in the same periodfirst six months of 2013. The deterioration in results in 2014 was primarily due to unprofitable2013 were driven by more profitable results in the United States. Overall results in the first quarter of 2014 reflected a modest amount of unfavorable prior year loss development whereas results in the same period of 2013 reflectedStates, which benefited from a modest amount of favorable prior year loss development. Results for this business were similarly profitable in the second quarter of both years as improved current accident year results in the 2014 period were offset by a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development compared to the same period of 2013. Results outside the United States for the first six months and the second quarter of 2014 and 2013 were also adversely affected by a higher impact of weather-related losses.near breakeven.

Homeowners results were unprofitableprofitable in the first six months and second quarter of 2014, compared with highly profitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. The unprofitableless profitable results in the first quartersix months of 2014 were due to a higher impact of catastrophes as well as a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes, driven by an increase in fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses, and, to a lesser extent, a higher impact of catastrophes. The less profitable results in the second quarter of 2014 were due primarily to a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes, driven by an increase in fire losses.losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses, offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes. Catastrophe losses represented 17.915.0 percentage points of the combined ratio for this class in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with 6.1and 12.1 percentage points in the second quarter compared with 13.1 and 20.1 percentage points, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013.

Our other personal business produced profitable results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013, but slightly more so in 2014.2013. Our accident and health business produced modestly profitable results in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 2013.2013 and slightly profitable results in the second quarter of both years. In the United States, results for this business were profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both years. Results for this business outside the United States were modestly unprofitable in the first six months and second quarter of both years. Results for our personal excess liability business were similarly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both years, but more soyears. Results for this business in 2014, andeach period benefited from favorable prior year loss development. Our yacht business produced highly profitable results in the first six months and second quarter of both years.


 

Page 3335

Commercial Insurance

Net premiums written from commercial insurance, which represented 47%44% of our premiums written in the first quartersix months of 2014, decreasedincreased by 1% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 3% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written for the classes of business within the commercial insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Quarter Ended March 31   % Increase   Six Months Ended June 30   % Incr.
(Decr.)
  Quarter Ended June 30   % Incr. 
  2014   2013   (Decrease)   2014   2013    2014   2013   
  (in millions)       (in millions)     (in millions)     

Multiple peril

  $261    $272     (4)%   $546    $549     (1)%  $285    $277     3

Casualty

   446     448          850     850         404     402       

Workers’ compensation

   310     299     4     595     565     5    285     266     7  

Property and marine

   408     421     (3   792     795         384     374     3  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

Total commercial

  $1,425    $1,440     (1  $2,783    $2,759     1   $1,358    $1,319     3  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

Net premiums written in our commercial insurance business increased modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 were flat in the United States and decreased modestlyStates. Such premiums outside the United States.States decreased slightly in the first six months of 2014 but increased modestly in the second quarter. Overall, premium growth for our commercial insurance business in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 was constrained by lower renewal exposures and our continued efforts to secure adequate rates on renewal and new business in a market that continued to be competitive. ModestThe growth occurredin our commercial insurance business in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 was driven by growth in the workers’ compensation class, driven by new business,reflecting rate increases, and a continued strong retention level butand new business. In the first six months of 2014, premiums written were either flat or decreased modestly infor the other classes within our commercial insurance business.business were either flat or decreased slightly. In the second quarter of 2014, modest growth occurred in the multiple peril and property and marine classes, while premiums written in the casualty class were flat. The positive overall rate environment experienced in recent years for commercial insurance in the United States experienced in recent years continued in the first quartersix months of 2014. Overall, average renewal rates in the United States increased modestly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 for our commercial insurance business, with increases occurring in all major classes. The rate environment outside the United States has not been as positive as in the United States and, as a result, overalleach class. Overall, average renewal rates outside the United States increased only slightly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014. Retention levels of our existing policyholders remained strong and were slightlymodestly higher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. In the first six months and second quarter of 2014, the average renewal exposure change was down slightly both inside and outside the United States. The amount of new business in the United States was uphigher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods in 2013, driven by an increase in the United States as result of more opportunities to write business is becoming available at adequateappropriate rates. New business was down modestlyflat in the first quartersix months of 2014 outside the United States.States, but up modestly in the second quarter.


 

Page 3436

Our commercial insurance business produced highly profitable underwriting results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013, but less socompared with highly profitable results in 2014.the same periods of 2013. The combined loss and expense ratios for the classes of business within the commercial insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 

Multiple peril

   91.8  83.4   91.6  88.9  91.5  94.4

Casualty

   89.7    93.2     87.4    94.0    85.3    94.8  

Workers’ compensation

   84.0    89.0     84.3    87.7    84.5    86.6  

Property and marine

   89.1    64.7     99.8    73.6    110.5    83.0  

Total commercial

   88.5    81.9     90.9    85.9    93.3    89.9  

The less profitable results in our commercial insurance business in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 were due to a higher impact of catastrophes, a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development and a slightly higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes. Catastrophes had an unfavorableThe less profitable results in our commercial insurance business in the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period in 2013 were due to a higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes and a lower amount of favorable prior year loss development, offset in part by a lower impact of 6.1catastrophes. The impact of catastrophes represented 5.5 percentage points onof the combined ratio for our commercial insurance business in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with a favorable impact of 1.7and 4.9 percentage points in the second quarter compared with 3.2 and 8.1 percentage points, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. The 1.7 percentage points favorable impact in the first quarter of 2013 reflected 2.1 percentage points related to a decrease in estimated losses from Storm Sandy. The current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes for our commercial insurance business decreasedincreased slightly in the first quartersix months of 2014 and increased modestly in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. The current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes in the 2014 periods was adversely affected by a higher impact of large fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses in the second quarter primarily in our property and marine business. Results for our commercial insurance business in bothall periods benefited from significant favorable prior year loss development and our disciplined risk selection in recent years.

Multiple peril results were profitable in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with highly profitable results in the same period of 2013. Results for this business were profitable in the second quarter of both years, but more so in 2014. The less profitable results in the first quartersix months of 2014 were driven by less profitable results in the property component of this business which produced highlydue primarily to a higher impact of catastrophes. The more profitable results in the firstsecond quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013 were due to improved results in both the property and liability components of this business. Results in the property component were profitable in the second quarter of both years, but lessmore so in 2014 due todriven mainly by a higherlower impact of catastrophes. In the multiple peril class overall, the impact of catastrophes represented 9.47.2 percentage points of the combined ratio in the first six months of 2014 and 5.0 percentage points in the second quarter of 2014. This comparescompared with a favorable impact of catastrophes of 0.7 of a5.0 and 10.8 percentage pointpoints, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013. The liability component of this business produced profitable results in the first six months of both years. Results for the liability component of this business were highly profitable in the second quarter of both years, but slightly less so2014 compared with profitable results in 2014 due to a lower amountthe same period of favorable prior year loss development, offset in part by slightly improved current accident year results.2013.


Page 37

Results for our casualty business were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013, but more socompared with profitable results in 2014.the same periods of 2013. Results for the primary liability component of this business were near breakevenmodestly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both 2014 andcompared with unprofitable results in the same periods of 2013. Results for this component in the 2013 periods reflected a high volume of large reported losses, many of which related to prior accident years. The automobile component of our casualty business produced modestly profitableunprofitable results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with slightly profitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. Results for the excess liability component were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both 2014 and 2013. Results for the excess liability component of our casualty business in both yearsall periods benefited from substantial favorable prior year loss development. Our overallOverall results for our casualty results in the first quarter of 2014 experienced a lower amount ofbusiness were adversely affected by incurred losses related to toxic waste claims in the first six months of 2014 and incurred losses related to both asbestos and toxic waste claims in the same period of 2013. Overall casualty results were adversely affected by incurred losses related to toxic waste claims in the second quarter of 2014 and incurred losses related to asbestos claims compared toin the same period of 2013. Our analysis of these exposures resulted in virtually no changeincreases in the estimate of our ultimate liabilities in the first quarter of 2014, whereas suchliabilities. Such losses represented 3.61.5 and 4.0 percentage points of the combined ratio for this class in the first six months of 2014 and 2013, respectively, and 3.0 and 4.4 percentage points in the second quarter of 2013.


Page 352014 and 2013, respectively.

Workers’ compensation results were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both 2014 and 2013, but more so in 2014.the 2014 periods. The more profitable results in the first quarter of 2014 periods were mainly due to improved current accident year results compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. PriorResults in each period reflected favorable prior year loss reserve development was favorable in both periods.development. Results in both yearsalso reflected improved pricing and our disciplined risk selection during the past several years.

Property and marine results were highly profitablenear breakeven in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 2013, but substantially more sounprofitable in the second quarter compared with highly profitable results in the same periods of 2013. The less profitable results in the first six months of 2014 were primarily due to a significant unfavorable impact of catastrophes. Catastrophe losses had an unfavorable impact of 14.6 percentage points on the combined ratio for this class in the first quarter of 2014 compared with a favorable impact of 6.0 percentage points in the same period of 2013. Thesignificantly higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes, was slightlydue in large part to a higher in the first quarterimpact of 2014 compared with the first quarterlarge fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses, as well as a higher impact of 2013.catastrophes. Results in the first quartersix months of both years reflected2013 also benefited from a significant amount of favorable prior year loss development. The unprofitable results in the second quarter of 2014 were due to a significantly higher current accident year loss ratio excluding catastrophes, which reflected a higher impact of large fire losses and non-catastrophe weather-related losses. Results in the second quarter of 2014 were also adversely impacted by unfavorable prior year loss development but more sowhereas results in the same period of 2013 mostly related to catastrophes.benefited from a significant amount of favorable prior year loss development. These adverse impacts were offset in part by a lower impact of catastrophes in the second quarter of 2014. The impact of catastrophes represented 13.9 percentage points of the combined ratio in the first six months of 2014 and 13.1 percentage points in the second quarter compared with 6.7 and 19.9 percentage points, respectively, in the same periods of 2013.


Page 38

Specialty Insurance

Net premiums written from specialty insurance, which represented 20% of our premiums written in the first quartersix months of 2014, decreasedincreased by 1%2% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 5% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written for the classes of business within the specialty insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Quarter Ended March 31   % Increase   Six Months Ended June 30   % Incr.
(Decr.)
  Quarter Ended June 30   % Incr. 
  2014   2013   (Decrease)   2014   2013    2014   2013   
  (in millions)       (in millions)     (in millions)     

Professional liability

  $552��   $549     1  $1,124    $1,098     2 $572    $549     4

Surety

   72     83     (13   155     160     (3  83     77     8  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

Total specialty

  $624    $632     (1  $1,279    $1,258     2   $655    $626     5  
  

 

   

 

     

 

   

 

    

 

   

 

   

Net premiums written in our professional liability business increased by 1%2% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 4% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. Net premiums written in the United States were modestly higher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods in 2013. Net premiums written outside the United States were modestly lowerslightly higher in the first quartersix months of 2014 and modestly higher in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods of 2013. PremiumOverall premium growth in the first quarterboth periods of 2014 reflected a slightlyincluded the modestly positive effect of our decision not to renew a reinsurance program, which expired July 1, 2013, that provided coverage for a portion of our professional liability business. Premium growth in the professional liability business remained somewhat constrained as we continued our focus on profitability in the pricing of renewal policies and due to limited opportunities to write suitably-priced new business, in what remains a competitive marketplace. Nevertheless, the overall rate environment remained positive, particularly in the United States. We continued to pursue rate increases on our professional liability business to address margin compression experienced in these classes of business in recent years. Retention levels for the classes within our professional liability business remained strong. Retention levels were modestly higher in the United States and substantially unchanged outside the United States in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with those in the same period of 2013.


Page 36

New business volume was near flatmodestly higher in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods of 2013, as a slight increase in new business in the United States was offset by a slight decreasewith increases occurring both inside and outside the United States. The new business volume in the United States in the first quarter of 2014 periods reflected slightly more opportunities to write suitably-priced business in select classes of this business due to the positive pricing trends in the market over the last two years. However, new business volume remained somewhat constrained as rate levels in some customer segments were still not attractive and we continued to adhere to our underwriting discipline in a market environment which remained competitive. Average renewal rates for our professional liability business in the United States increased significantly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013.2014. Rate increases occurred in all majormost classes of this business, particularly in our directors and officers liability and employment practices liability classes.business. Overall, average renewal rates outside the United States were up slightly in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013.2014.


Page 39

The decrease in net premiums written in our surety business in the first six months of 2014 was driven by a significant decline in premiums written outside the United States, due in large partprimarily to a decrease in premiums written in Latin America. PremiumsThe decrease in premiums written insideoutside the United States in our surety business also declined in the first quartersix months of 2014 but to a lesser extent. The decreases in premiums written inside and outside the United States werewas mainly driven by a lower number of new contracts requiring a surety bond being awarded to our existing customers compared with the same period of 2013. Premiums written inside the United States in 2013.our surety business increased modestly in the first six months of 2014. The increase in net premiums written in the second quarter of 2014 was driven by significant growth in premiums written inside the United States, due primarily to an increase in construction activity among a few of our larger customers. The timing of contract awards to our customers can vary and, as a result, premium growth in our surety business varies from period to period.

Our specialty insurance business produced highly profitable underwriting results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013. The combined loss and expense ratios for the classes of business within the specialty insurance segment were as follows:

 

  Periods Ended June 30 
  Quarter Ended March 31   Six Months Second Quarter 
  2014 2013   2014 2013 2014 2013 

Professional liability

   84.6  92.4   83.9  92.1  83.2  91.9

Surety

   122.9    50.7     82.2    46.6    45.3    42.1  

Total specialty

   88.9    87.4     83.7    86.7    78.7    86.0  

Our professional liability business produced highly profitable results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with profitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. The more profitable results in the 2014 periods were due to a higher amount of favorable prior year loss development and improved current accident year results compared with the same periodperiods of 2013.

Results for the directors and officers liability class were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 and 2013, but more so in 2014.2013. Results in both yearsall periods benefited from favorable prior year loss development. Results for the fidelity class were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with profitableunprofitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. Results for the fidelity class in the first quarter of 2014 reflected a modest amount of favorableunfavorable prior year loss development whereasin all periods, but more so in the 2013 periods. Results for the employment practices liability class were modestly unprofitable in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with highly unprofitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. Results for this class in the first six months and second quarter of 2013


Page 37

reflected were adversely affected by unfavorable prior year loss development. Results for the employment practiceserrors and omissions liability class were slightlysimilarly unprofitable in the first six months of 2014 and 2013 as improved current accident year results in 2014 were largely offset by adverse prior year loss development. Results for this class were unprofitable in the second quarter of 2014 compared with highly unprofitable results in the same period of 2013. Results for this class in the firstsecond quarter of 2013 were adversely affected by unfavorable prior year loss development. Employment practices liability claims have been more numerous and protracted in recentboth years due primarily to the lingering effect of the economic downturn and resulting unemployment levels. Results for the errors and omissions liability class were highly unprofitable in the first quarter of 2014 compared with near breakeven results in the same period of 2013. Results in the first quarter of 2014 reflected unfavorable prior year loss development, whereas resultsbut more so in the first quarter of 2013 reflected favorable prior year loss reserve development.2013. Results for the fiduciary liability class were highly profitable in the first six months and second quarter of both 2014 and 2013; results in both years2013. Results for this class reflected favorable prior year loss development.development in all periods.


Page 40

Our surety business produced highly unprofitableprofitable results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with highly profitable results in the same period ofand 2013. Results in the first quartersix months of 2014 were adversely impacted byless profitable than the same period of 2013 due to the impact of one large loss in the first quarter outside the United States. Our surety business tends to be characterized by losses that are infrequent but have the potential to be highly severe.

Reinsurance Assumed

Net premiums written from our reinsurance assumed business, which is in runoff, were not significant in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 or 2013. This business produced breakeven results in the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with profitable results in the same periodperiods of 2013. Results in the first quarter of 2013 periods benefited from favorable prior year loss development.

Catastrophe Risk Management

Our property and casualty subsidiaries have exposure to losses caused by natural perils such as hurricanes and other windstorms, earthquakes, severe winter weather and brush fires as well as from man-made catastrophic events such as terrorism. The frequency and severity of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable.

The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in an area affected by the event and the severity of the event. We regularly assess our concentrations of risk in catastrophe exposed areas globally and have strategies and underwriting standards to manage these exposures through individual risk selection, subject to regulatory constraints, and through the purchase of catastrophe reinsurance coverage. We use catastrophe modeling and a risk concentration management tool to monitor and control our accumulations of potential losses in catastrophe exposed areas in the United States, such as California and the gulf and east coasts, as well as in catastrophe exposed areas in other countries. The information provided by the catastrophe modeling and the risk concentration management tool has resulted in our non-renewing or reducing our exposure on some accounts and refraining from writing others.


Page 38

Catastrophe modeling generally relies on multiple inputs based on experience, science, engineering and history, and the selection of those inputs requires a significant amount of judgment. The modeling results may also fail to account for risks that are outside the range of normal probability or are otherwise unforeseen. Because of this, actual results may differ materially from those derived from our modeling exercises.

We also continue to actively explore and analyze credible scientific evidence, including the potential impact of global climate change, that may affect our ability to manage our exposure under the insurance policies we issue as well as the impact that laws and regulations intended to combat climate change may have on us.

Despite our efforts to manage our catastrophe exposure, the occurrence of one or more severe catastrophic events could have a material effect on the Corporation’s results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.


Page 41

Loss Reserves

Unpaid losses and loss expenses, also referred to as loss reserves, are the largest liability of our property and casualty subsidiaries.

Our loss reserves include case estimates for claims that have been reported and estimates for claims that have been incurred but not reported at the balance sheet date as well as estimates of the expenses associated with processing and settling all reported and unreported claims, less estimates of anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries. Estimates are based upon past loss experience modified for current trends as well as prevailing economic, legal and social conditions. Our loss reserves are not discounted to present value.

We regularly review our loss reserves using a variety of actuarial techniques. We update the reserve estimates as historical loss experience develops, additional claims are reported and/or settled and new information becomes available. Any changes in estimates are reflected in operating results in the period in which the estimates are changed.

Incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserve estimates are generally calculated by first projecting the ultimate cost of all claims that have occurred and then subtracting reported losses and loss expenses. Reported losses include cumulative paid losses and loss expenses plus case reserves. The IBNR reserve includes a provision for claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported to us, some of which are not yet known to the insured, as well as a provision for future development on reported claims. A relatively large proportion of our net loss reserves, particularly for long tail liability classes, are reserves for IBNR losses. In fact, about 70%75% of our aggregate net loss reserves at March 31,June 30, 2014 were for IBNR losses.


 

Page 3942

Our gross case and IBNR loss reserves and related reinsurance recoverable by class of business were as follows:

 

  Gross Loss Reserves   Reinsurance   

Net

Loss

   

 

Gross Loss Reserves

   Reinsurance
Recoverable
   Net
Loss
Reserves
 
March 31, 2014  Case   IBNR   Total   Recoverable   Reserves 
June 30, 2014  Case   IBNR   Total   Reinsurance
Recoverable
   Net
Loss
Reserves
 
  (in millions)   (in millions)

Personal insurance

                    

Automobile

  $269    $137    $406    $15    $391    $268    $144    $412    $15    $397  

Homeowners

   471     395     866     57     809     452     391     843     45     798  

Other

   344     721     1,065     89     976     346     737     1,083     88     995  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total personal

   1,084     1,253     2,337     161     2,176     1,066     1,272     2,338     148     2,190  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Commercial insurance

                    

Multiple peril

   584     1,213     1,797     42     1,755     612     1,214     1,826     45     1,781  

Casualty

   1,463     5,477     6,940     388     6,552     1,406     5,508     6,914     395     6,519  

Workers’ compensation

   1,052     2,051     3,103     284     2,819     1,079     2,057     3,136     288     2,848  

Property and marine

   786     501     1,287     412     875     807     523     1,330     394     936  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total commercial

   3,885     9,242     13,127     1,126     12,001     3,904     9,302     13,206     1,122     12,084  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Specialty insurance

                    

Professional liability

   1,254     5,888     7,142     327     6,815     1,225     5,847     7,072     312     6,760  

Surety

   35     57     92     11     81     21     59     80     6     74  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total specialty

   1,289     5,945     7,234     338     6,896     1,246     5,906     7,152     318     6,834  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total insurance

   6,258     16,440     22,698     1,625     21,073     6,216     16,480     22,696     1,588     21,108  

Reinsurance assumed

   152     287     439     142     297     148     283     431     141     290  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total

  $6,410    $16,727    $23,137    $1,767    $21,370    $6,364    $16,763    $23,127    $1,729    $21,398  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 
  Gross Loss Reserves   Reinsurance   

Net

Loss

 
December 31, 2013  Case   IBNR   Total   Recoverable   Reserves 
  (in millions) 

Personal insurance

          

Automobile

  $265    $141    $406    $16    $390  

Homeowners

   414     357     771     56     715  

Other

   345     713     1,058     90     968  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total personal

   1,024     1,211     2,235     162     2,073  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Commercial insurance

          

Multiple peril

   598     1,190     1,788     43     1,745  

Casualty

   1,565     5,398     6,963     387     6,576  

Workers’ compensation

   1,023     2,047     3,070     277     2,793  

Property and marine

   834     492     1,326     440     886  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total commercial

   4,020     9,127     13,147     1,147     12,000  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Specialty insurance

          

Professional liability

   1,390     5,842     7,232     343     6,889  

Surety

   19     56     75     4     71  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total specialty

   1,409     5,898     7,307     347     6,960  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total insurance

   6,453     16,236     22,689     1,656     21,033  

Reinsurance assumed

   169     288     457     146     311  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

Total

  $6,622    $16,524    $23,146    $1,802    $21,344  
  

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

   

 

 

   

 

Gross Loss Reserves

   Reinsurance
Recoverable
   Net
Loss
Reserves
 
December 31, 2013  Case   IBNR   Total     
   (in millions) 

Personal insurance

          

Automobile

  $265    $141    $406    $16    $390  

Homeowners

   414     357     771     56     715  

Other

   345     713     1,058     90     968  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total personal

   1,024     1,211     2,235     162     2,073  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Commercial insurance

          

Multiple peril

   598     1,190     1,788     43     1,745  

Casualty

   1,565     5,398     6,963     387     6,576  

Workers’ compensation

   1,023     2,047     3,070     277     2,793  

Property and marine

   834     492     1,326     440     886  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total commercial

   4,020     9,127     13,147     1,147     12,000  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Specialty insurance

          

Professional liability

   1,390     5,842     7,232     343     6,889  

Surety

   19     56     75     4     71  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total specialty

   1,409     5,898     7,307     347     6,960  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total insurance

   6,453     16,236     22,689     1,656     21,033  

Reinsurance assumed

   169     288     457     146     311  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total

  $6,622    $16,524    $23,146    $1,802    $21,344  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 


 

Page 4043

Loss reserves, net of reinsurance recoverable, increased by $26$54 million during the first quartersix months of 2014. Loss reserves related to our insurance business increased by $40$75 million during the first quartersix months of 2014, which reflected an increase of $57$78 million related to catastrophe losses and a decrease of approximately $25$33 million related to the effect of foreign currency translation due to the stronger U.S. dollar at March 31,June 30, 2014 compared with December 31, 2013. Loss reserves related to our reinsurance assumed business, which is in runoff, decreased by $14$21 million.

The increase in our homeowners gross loss reserves during the first quartersix months of 2014 was driven by catastrophe-related losses, non-catastrophe weather-relatedfire losses and firenon-catastrophe weather-related losses. The decrease in gross loss reserves in the professional liability classes was due to lower case reserves as a result of paid claim activity during the first quartersix months of 2014.

In establishing the loss reserves of our property and casualty subsidiaries, we consider facts currently known and the present state of the law and coverage litigation. Based on all information currently available, we believe that the aggregate loss reserves at March 31,June 30, 2014 were adequate to cover claims for losses that had occurred as of that date, including both those known to us and those yet to be reported. However, as discussed in Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, there are significant uncertainties inherent in the loss reserving process. It is therefore possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liability for losses that had occurred as of March 31,June 30, 2014 may change, which could have a material effect on the Corporation’s results of operations and financial condition.

Changes in loss reserve estimates are unavoidable because such estimates are subject to the outcome of future events. Loss trends vary and time is required for changes in trends to be recognized and confirmed. Reserve changes that increase previous estimates of ultimate cost are referred to as unfavorable or adverse development or reserve strengthening. Reserve changes that decrease previous estimates of ultimate cost are referred to as favorable development or reserve releases.

We estimate that we experienced overall favorable prior year development of about $160$325 million during the first quartersix months of 2014 and $165 in the second quarter compared with favorable prior year development of about $190$405 million and $215 million, respectively, in the same periodperiods of 2013, on loss reserves established as of the respective previous year end.

The favorable development in the first quartersix months of 2014 was primarily in the professional liability classes due to favorable loss experience related mainly to accident years 20072010 and prior, and in the commercial liability classes due to favorable loss experience related mainly to accident years 2012 and prior, and in the commercial property classes due mainly to lower than expected severity in the 2013 accident year.prior. The favorable development in the first quartersix months of 2013 was primarily in the commercial property classes, partly due to lower than expected severity primarily in the 2012 accident year and, to a lesser extent, in the commercial liability classes due to continued favorable loss experience related mainly to accident years 2010 and prior, and in the professional liability classes due to favorable loss experience related mainly to accident years 2008 and prior.


 

Page 4144

Investment Results

Property and casualty investment income before taxes decreased by 3% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 4% in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods in 2013. The decrease was due to a decline in the average yield ofon our property and casualty subsidiaries’ investment portfolio, partially offset by the impact of a slight increase in our average invested assets.portfolio. The decrease in the average yield ofon the investment portfolio for the first six months and second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periods of 2013 resulted from lower reinvestment yields on securities that we purchased to replace fixed maturities that matured, were redeemed by the issuer or were sold since the firstsecond quarter of 2013. WhileFor the property and casualty subsidiaries generated substantial operating cash flows in the last ninefirst six months of 2013 and2014, the first quarterimpact of 2014,the decline in average yield was partially offset by the impact of a slight increase in our average invested assets were impacted by substantial dividend distributions made by the property and casualty subsidiaries to Chubb during 2013.assets. Our property and casualty subsidiaries held only a slightly higher amount of average invested assets in the first quartersix months of 2014 and a similar amount in the second quarter compared with the same periodperiods in 2013. While the property and casualty subsidiaries generated substantial operating cash flows in the last six months of 2013 and the first six months of 2014, average invested assets were also impacted by substantial dividend distributions made by the property and casualty subsidiaries to Chubb during 2013 and the first quarter of 2014.

The effective tax rate on our investment income was 18.8%18.5% in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with 17.9%18.0% in the same period of 2013. The effective tax rate fluctuates as the proportion of tax exempt investment income relative to total investment income changes from period to period.

On an after-tax basis, property and casualty investment income decreased by 4% in the first six months and the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same periodperiods in 2013. The after-tax annualized yield on our property and casualty subsidiaries’ investment portfolio was 2.80% and 2.93%2.91% in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 2013, respectively.

We expect that property and casualty investment income after taxes will decline for the full year 2014, assuming the average yield on fixed maturity securities available in the market and the average foreign currency to U.S. dollar exchange rates for the last six months of 2014 are both similar to June 30, 2014 levels. This expected decline reflects the actual results for the first six months of 2014 as well as the expected effect of having invested funds from securities that matured in 2013 and 2014 in securities with yields lower than the yields on the maturing securities, and the expectation that this pattern will continue during the remainder of 2014. The expected decline in property and casualty investment income after taxes in 2014 also reflects an assumption that average invested assets in 2014 will be slightly higher than 2013, based on our expectations of cash flows during the year.

Other Income and Charges

Other income and charges, which includes miscellaneous income and expenses of the property and casualty subsidiaries, was not significant in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 2013.


Page 45

Corporate and Other

Corporate and other comprises investment income earned on corporate invested assets, interest expense and other expenses not allocated to our operating subsidiaries and the results of our non-insurance subsidiaries.

Corporate and other produced a loss before taxes of $60$119 million in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with a loss of $63$121 million for the same period of 2013.


Page 42

Realized Investment Gains and Losses

Net realized investment gains and losses were as follows:

 

  Quarter Ended March 31   Periods Ended June 30 
  2014 2013   Six Months Second Quarter 
  (in millions)   2014 2013 2014 2013 
  (in millions) 

Net realized gains (losses)

   

Net realized gains

     

Fixed maturities

  $(3 $11    $49   $17   $52   $6  

Equity securities

   66    55     89    174    23    119  

Other invested assets

   53    74     108    133    55    59  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
   116    140     246    324    130    184  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Other-than-temporary impairment losses

        

Fixed maturities

   (4      (4    

Equity securities

       (2   (1  (7  (1  (5
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 
       (2   (5  (7  (5  (5
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Realized investment gains before tax

  $116   $138    $241   $317   $125   $179  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

Realized investment gains after tax

  $75   $90    $156   $206   $81   $116  
  

 

  

 

   

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

 

In the first six months and second quarter of 2013, the net realized gains of equity securities and other invested assets included $74 million and $10 million, respectively, related to the exchange of our holdings of common stock and warrants of Alterra Capital Holdings Limited for common stock of Markel Corporation and cash as a result of a business combination that took place during the second quarter of 2013.

The net realized gains and losses of other invested assets representinclude primarily the aggregate of realized gain distributions to us from the limited partnerships in which we have an interest and changes in our equity in the net assets of those partnerships based on valuations provided to us by the manager of each partnership. Due to the timing of our receipt of valuation data from the investment managers, the value of these investments and any related realized gains and losses are generally reported on a one quarter lag.


Page 46

The net realized gains of the limited partnerships reported in the first six months of 2014 primarily reflected the positive performance of the global equity and high yield investment markets in the first quarter of 2014 and the fourth quarter of 2013. The net realized gains of the limited partnerships reported in the first six months of 2013 primarily reflected the positive performance of the global equity and high yield investment markets in the fourthfirst quarter of 2013 and 2012, respectively.the fourth quarter of 2012.

We regularly review invested assets that have a fair value less than cost to determine if an other-than-temporary decline in value has occurred. We have a monitoring process overseen by a committee of investment and accounting professionals that is responsible for identifying those securities to be specifically evaluated for a potential other-than-temporary impairment.

The determination of whether a decline in value of any investment is temporary or other than temporary requires the judgment of management. The assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of fixed maturities and equity securities is based on both quantitative criteria and qualitative information. A number of factors are considered including, but not limited to, the length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been less than the cost, the financial condition and near term prospects of the issuer, whether the issuer is current on contractually obligated interest and principal payments, general market conditions and industry or sector specific factors. The decision to recognize a decline in the value of a security carried at fair value as other than temporary rather than temporary has no impact on shareholders’ equity.


Page 43

In determining whether fixed maturities are other than temporarily impaired, we are required to recognize an other-than-temporary impairment loss when we conclude that we have the intent to sell or it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell an impaired fixed maturity before the security recovers to its amortized cost value or it is likely we will not recover the entire amortized cost value of an impaired security. If we have the intent to sell or it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell an impaired fixed maturity before the security recovers to its amortized cost value, the security is written down to fair value and the entire amount of the writedown is included in net income as a realized investment loss. For all other impaired fixed maturities, when the impairment is determined to be other than temporary, the impairment loss is separated into the amount representing the credit loss and the amount representing the loss related to all other factors. The amount of the impairment loss that represents the credit loss is included in net income as a realized investment loss and the amount of the impairment loss that relates to all other factors is included in other comprehensive income.

In determining whether equity securities are other than temporarily impaired, we consider our intent and ability to hold a security for a period of time sufficient to allow us to recover our cost. If a decline in the fair value of an equity security is deemed to be other than temporary, the security is written down to fair value and the amount of the writedown is included in net income as a realized investment loss.


Page 47

Capital Resources and Liquidity

Capital resources and liquidity represent a company’s overall financial strength and its ability to generate cash flows, borrow funds at competitive rates and raise new capital to meet operating and growth needs.

Capital Resources

Capital resources provide protection for policyholders, furnish the financial strength to support the business of underwriting insurance risks and facilitate continued business growth. At March 31,June 30, 2014, the Corporation had shareholders’ equity of $16.2$16.5 billion and total debt of $3.3 billion.

Management regularly monitors the Corporation’s capital resources. In connection with our long term capital strategy, Chubb from time to time contributes capital to its property and casualty subsidiaries. In addition, in order to satisfy capital needs as a result of any rating agency capital adequacy or other future rating issues, or in the event we were to need additional capital to make strategic investments in light of market opportunities, we may take a variety of actions, which could include the issuance of additional debt and/or equity securities. We believe that our strong financial position and current debt level provide us with the flexibility and capacity to obtain funds externally through debt or equity financings on both a short term and long term basis.


Page 44

In January 2013, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1.3 billion of Chubb’s common stock. Repurchases under this authorization were completed in January 2014. On January 30, 2014, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1.5 billion of Chubb’s common stock. During the first quartersix months of 2014, under these two authorizations we repurchased 4,720,7268,752,012 shares of Chubb’s common stock in open market transactions at a cost of $409$784 million. As of March 31,June 30, 2014, $1,198$823 million remained under the January 2014 authorization. This authorization has no expiration date. We expect to complete the repurchase of shares under this authorization by the end of January 2015, subject to market conditions and other factors.

Ratings

Chubb and its property and casualty insurance subsidiaries are rated by major rating agencies. These ratings reflect the rating agency’s opinion of our financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet our obligations to policyholders.

Credit ratings assess a company’s ability to make timely payments of interest and principal on its debt. Financial strength ratings assess an insurer’s ability to meet its financial obligations to policyholders.

Ratings are an important factor in establishing our competitive position in the insurance markets. There can be no assurance that our ratings will continue for any given period of time or that they will not be changed.


Page 48

It is possible that one or more of the rating agencies may raise or lower our existing ratings in the future. If our credit ratings were downgraded, we might incur higher borrowing costs and might have more limited means to access capital. A downgrade in our financial strength ratings could adversely affect the competitive position of our insurance operations, including a possible reduction in demand for our products in certain markets.

Liquidity

Liquidity is a measure of a company’s ability to generate sufficient cash flows to meet the short and long term cash requirements of its business operations.

The Corporation’s liquidity requirements in the past have generally been met by funds from operations and we expect that funds from operations will continue to be sufficient to meet such requirements in the future. Liquidity requirements could also be met by funds received upon the maturity or sale of marketable securities in our investment portfolio. The Corporation also has the ability to borrow under its $500 million credit facility and we believe we could issue debt or equity securities.

Our property and casualty operations provide liquidity in that insurance premiums are generally received months or even years before losses are paid under the policies purchased by such premiums. Cash receipts from operations, consisting of insurance premiums and investment income, provide funds to pay losses, operating expenses and dividends to Chubb. Cash receipts in excess of required cash outflows can be used to build the investment portfolio, with the expectation of generating additional investment income in the future.


Page 45

Our strong underwriting and investment results generated substantial positive operating cash flows in the first quartersix months of 2014 and 2013. The cash provided by the property and casualty subsidiaries’ operating activities decreased modestlyincreased in the first quartersix months of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013. The positive impact2013 primarily as a result of modestly higher premium collections and slightly lower loss payments was offset by the impact of modestly higher tax payments in the first quarter of 2014 compared with the same period of 2013.payments. During the first quartersix months of 2014, the cash used by the property and casualty subsidiaries for financing activities (primarily the payment of dividends to Chubb) exceeded the cash provided by the property and casualty subsidiaries’ operating activities by approximately $150$215 million. In the first quartersix months of 2014, dividends paid to Chubb by the property and casualty subsidiaries increased by $457 million compared with the comparable period of 2013 reflecting in part a difference in the timing of the payment of subsidiary dividends in 2013 and those paid and anticipated in 2014. During the first quartersix months of 2013, the cash provided by the operating activities of the property and casualty subsidiaries exceeded the cash used for financing activities by the property and casualty subsidiaries (primarily the payment of dividends to Chubb) by approximately $330$70 million.


Page 49

Our property and casualty subsidiaries maintain substantial investments in highly liquid, short term marketable securities. Accordingly, we do not anticipate selling long term fixed maturity investments to meet any liquidity needs.

Chubb’s liquidity requirements primarily include the payment of dividends to shareholders and interest and principal on debt obligations. The declaration and payment of future dividends to Chubb’s shareholders will be at the discretion of Chubb’s Board of Directors and will depend upon many factors, including our operating results, financial condition, capital requirements and any regulatory constraints.

As a holding company, Chubb’s ability to continue to pay dividends to shareholders and to satisfy its debt obligations relies on the availability of liquid assets, which is dependent in large part on the dividend paying ability of its property and casualty subsidiaries. The timing and amount of dividends paid by the property and casualty subsidiaries to Chubb may vary from year to year. In the United States, our property and casualty subsidiaries are subject to laws and regulations in the jurisdictions in which they operate that restrict the amount and timing of dividends they may pay within twelve consecutive months without the prior approval of regulatory authorities. The restrictions are generally based on net income and on certain levels of policyholders’ surplus as determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices. Dividends in excess of such thresholds are considered “extraordinary” and require prior regulatory approval.

During the first quartersix months of 2014, the property and casualty subsidiaries paid dividends of $561$1,091 million to Chubb. Whether any dividends the property and casualty subsidiaries may pay during the remainder of 2014 require regulatory approval will depend on the amount and timing of the dividend payments. As of March 31,June 30, 2014, the maximum aggregate dividend distribution that may be made by the subsidiaries to Chubb during the remainder of 2014 without prior regulatory approval was approximately $1.5 billion.


Page 46$930 million.

Invested Assets

The main objectives in managing our investment portfolios are to maximize after-tax investment income and total investment return while managing credit risk and interest rate risk in order to ensure that funds will be available to meet our insurance obligations. Investment strategies are developed based on many factors including underwriting results and our resulting tax position, regulatory requirements, fluctuations in interest rates and consideration of other market risks. Investment decisions are centrally managed by investment professionals based on guidelines established by management and approved by the boards of directors of Chubb and its respective operating companies.

Our investment portfolio primarily comprises high quality bonds, principally tax exempt securities, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed securities and U.S. Treasury securities, as well as foreign government and corporate bonds that support our operations outside the United States. The portfolio also includes equity securities, primarily publicly traded common stocks, and other invested assets, primarily private equity limited partnerships, all of which are held with the primary objective of capital appreciation.


Page 50

Our objective is to achieve an appropriate mix of taxable and tax exempt securities in our portfolio to balance both investment and tax strategies. At March 31,June 30, 2014, 62%63% of our U.S. fixed maturity portfolio was invested in tax exempt securities. At March 31,June 30, 2014, about 70% of our tax exempt securities were rated Aa or better, with about 20% rated Aaa. The average rating of our tax exempt securities was Aa. While about 15% of our tax exempt securities were insured, the effect of insurance on the average credit rating of these securities was insignificant. The insured tax exempt securities in our portfolio have been selected based on the quality of the underlying credit and not the value of the credit insurance enhancement.

At March 31,June 30, 2014, 4%7% of our taxable fixed maturity portfolio was invested in U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations other than mortgage-backed securities and had an average rating of Aa. About 50%70% of the U.S. government and government agency and authority obligations other than mortgage-backed securities were U.S. Treasury securities with an average rating of Aaa and the remainder were taxable bonds issued by states, municipalities and political subdivisions within the United States with an average rating of Aa.

At March 31,June 30, 2014, 52%49% of our taxable fixed maturity portfolio consisted of corporate bonds that were issued by a diverse group of U.S. and foreign issuers and had an average rating of A. About 55% of our corporate bonds were issued by U.S. companies and about 45% were issued by foreign companies. Our foreign corporate bonds included $62 million, $13$60 million and $10$13 million issued by companies, including banks, in Ireland Spain and Italy,Spain, respectively. We held no bonds issued by companies in Greece, Italy or Portugal.


Page 47

At March 31,June 30, 2014, 36% of our taxable fixed maturity portfolio was invested in foreign government and government agency obligations, which had an average rating of Aa. The foreign government and government agency obligations consisted of high quality securities, primarily issued by national governments and, to a lesser extent, government agencies, regional governments and supranational organizations. The five largest sovereign issuers within our portfolio were Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom, Australia and Brazil, which collectively accounted for about 75% of our total foreign government and government agency obligations. Another 8%7% of our total foreign government and government agency obligations were issued by supranational organizations. We held no sovereign securities issued by Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece or Spain. We did not hold any foreign government or government agency fixed maturities that have third party guarantees.

At March 31,June 30, 2014, 8% of our taxable fixed maturity portfolio was invested in mortgage-backed securities. About 95% of the mortgage-backed securities were rated Aaa. About half of the remaining 5% were below investment grade. Of the Aaa rated securities, 86%87% were call protected, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). All of our CMBS were senior securities with the highest level of credit support. The other 14%13% of the Aaa rated securities were residential mortgage-backed securities, consisting of government agency pass-through securities guaranteed by a government agency or a government sponsored enterprise and collateralized mortgage obligations backed by single family home mortgages.


Page 51

The net unrealized appreciation before tax of our fixed maturities and equity securities carried at fair value was $2.2$2.6 billion at March 31,June 30, 2014 compared with net unrealized appreciation before tax of $1.9 billion at December 31, 2013. Such unrealized appreciation is reflected in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of applicable deferred income taxes.

During the first six months of 2014, market yields on fixed maturity investments decreased resulting in an increase in the fair value of many of our fixed maturity investments.

Fair Values of Financial Instruments

Fair values of financial instruments are determined by management using valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. Fair values are generally measured using quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities or other inputs, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities, that are observable either directly or indirectly. In those instances where observable inputs are not available, fair values are measured using unobservable inputs for the asset or liability. Unobservable inputs reflect our own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability and are developed based on the best information available in the circumstances. Fair value estimates derived from unobservable inputs are affected by the assumptions used, including the discount rates and the estimated amounts and timing of future cash flows. The derived fair value estimates cannot be substantiated by comparison to independent markets and are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that would be realized in a current market exchange.


Page 48

The fair value hierarchy prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad levels as follows:

Level 1 – Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets for identical financial instruments.

Level 2 – Other inputs that are observable for the financial instrument, either directly or indirectly.

Level 3 – Significant unobservable inputs.

The methods and assumptions used to estimate the fair values of financial instruments are as follows:

The carrying value of short term investments approximates fair value due to the short maturities of these investments.


Page 52

Fair values of fixed maturities are determined by management, utilizing prices obtained from a third party, nationally recognized pricing service or, in the case of securities for which prices are not provided by a pricing service, from third party brokers. For fixed maturities that have quoted prices in active markets, market quotations are provided. For fixed maturities that do not trade on a daily basis, the pricing service and brokers provide fair value estimates using a variety of inputs including, but not limited to, benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, bids, offers, reference data, prepayment rates and measures of volatility. Management reviews on an ongoing basis the reasonableness of the methodologies used by the relevant pricing service and brokers. In addition, management, using the prices received for the securities from the pricing service and brokers, determines the aggregate portfolio price performance and reviews it against applicable indices. If management believes that significant discrepancies exist, it will discuss these with the relevant pricing service or broker to resolve the discrepancies.

Fair values of equity securities are determined by management, utilizing quoted market prices.

Fair values of long term debt issued by Chubb are determined by management, utilizing prices obtained from a third party, nationally recognized pricing service.

At March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, a pricing service provided fair value amounts for approximately 99% of our fixed maturities. The prices we obtain from a pricing service and brokers generally are non-binding, but are reflective of current market transactions in the applicable financial instruments.

At March 31,June 30, 2014 and December 31, 2013, we held an insignificant amount of financial instruments in our investment portfolio for which a lack of market liquidity impacted our determination of fair value.


Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Page 49For the Corporation’s disclosures about market risk, see Item 7A in Part II of the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013. There have been no material changes to the Corporation’s disclosures about market risk in Item 7A of the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013.

Item 4 — Controls and Procedures

As of March 31,June 30, 2014, an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Corporation’s disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rule 13a-15(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) was performed under the supervision and with the participation of the Corporation’s management, including Chubb’s chief executive officer and chief financial officer. Based on that evaluation, the chief executive officer and chief financial officer concluded that the Corporation’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of March 31,June 30, 2014.

During the quarter ended March 31,June 30, 2014, there were no changes in internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Corporation’s internal control over financial reporting.


 

Page 5053

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

Item 1A — Risk Factors

TheFor a discussion of the Corporation’s business is subject to a number ofpotential risks including those identified in Item 1A of Chubb’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013,or uncertainties that could have a material effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and/or liquidity andor that could cause our operating results to vary significantly from fiscal period to fiscal period. The risks describedperiod, see Item 1A in Part I of the Corporation’s Annual Report on Form 10-K are notfor the only risks we face.year ended December 31, 2013. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial also could have a material effect on our business, results of operations, financial condition and/or liquidity.

Item 2 — Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

The following table summarizes Chubb’s stock repurchased each month in the quarter ended March 31,June 30, 2014:

 

    Total Number
of Shares
Purchased
   Average
Price Paid
Per Share
   Total Number of
Shares  Purchased
as Part of
Publicly Announced
Plans or Programs
   Maximum
Approximate
Dollar Value of
Shares that May

Yet Be Purchased
Under the Plans
or Programs(a)
 
               (in millions) 

Period

                

January 2014

   1,187,069    $90.46     1,187,069    $1,500  

February 2014

   2,799,557     85.06     2,799,557     1,262  

March 2014

   734,100     87.04     734,100     1,198  
  

 

 

     

 

 

   

Total

   4,720,726     86.73     4,720,726    
  

 

 

     

 

 

   
    Total Number
of Shares
Purchased
   Average
Price Paid
Per Share
   Total Number of
Shares Purchased
as Part of
Publicly Announced
Plans or Programs
   Maximum
Approximate
Dollar Value of
Shares that May
Yet Be Purchased
Under the Plans
or Programs(a)
 
               (in millions) 

Period

                

April 1-30

   118,570    $91.61     118,570    $1,187  

May 1-31

   1,768,154     92.67     1,768,154     1,023  

June 1-30

   2,144,562     93.26    2,144,562     823  
  

 

 

     

 

 

   

Total

   4,031,286     92.95     4,031,286    
  

 

 

     

 

 

   
(a)On January 31, 2013, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1.3 billion of Chubb’s common stock. In January 2014, Chubb repurchased $107 million of Chubb’s common stock remaining under the January 31, 2013 authorization. On January 30, 2014, the Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1.5 billion of Chubb’s common stock. The January 30, 2014 authorization has no expiration date.


 

Page 5154

Item 6 — Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number
     

Description

  -  Material Contracts
10.110.1*
    Schedule of Salary Actions for Named Executive OfficersThe Chubb Corporation Long-Term Incentive Plan (2014) incorporated by reference to Exhibit (10.1)99.1 of the registrant’s Current Reportregistration statement on Form 8-KS-8 filed on March 4,April 29, 2014. (File No. 333-195560)
10.210.2*    Form of PerformanceDeferred Stock Unit Award Agreement (for Non-Employee Directors) under The Chubb Corporation Long-Term Incentive Plan (2009) incorporated by reference to Exhibit (10.2) of the registrant’s Current Report on Form 8-K(2014) filed on March 4, 2014.herewith.
10.310.3*    Form of Restricted Stock Unit Agreement under The Chubb Corporation Long-Term Incentive Plan (2009) incorporated by reference to Exhibit (10.3) of the registrant’s Current Report on Form 8-K(2014) filed on March 4, 2014.
10.4The Chubb Corporation Long-Term Incentive Plan (2014) incorporated by reference to Annex A of the registrant’s definitive proxy statement for the Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on April 29, 2014.herewith.
  -  Rule 13a-14(a)/15d-14(a) Certifications
31.1    Certification by John D. Finnegan filed herewith.
31.2    Certification by Richard G. Spiro filed herewith.
  -  Section 1350 Certifications
32.1    Certification by John D. Finnegan filed herewith.
32.2    Certification by Richard G. Spiro filed herewith.
  -  Interactive Data File
101.INS    XBRL Instance Document
101.SCH    XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema Document
101.CAL    XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase Document
101.LAB    XBRL Taxonomy Extension Label Linkbase Document
101.PRE    XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase Document
101.DEF    XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase Document

*This exhibit is a management contract or a compensatory plan or arrangement.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, The Chubb Corporation has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

THE CHUBB CORPORATION
(Registrant)
By: 

/s/ John J. Kennedy

 John J. Kennedy
 Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

Date: May 8,August 7, 2014